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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | No | 1.67K | $0.480 | $1.28K | +$474.01 |
 Blue wave in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will LaMonica McIver be the Democratic nominee for NJ-10?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.958 | $1.08K | May 27, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 532.86 |
| $0.500 |
| $423.62 |
| +$157.19 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.750 | $374 | +$74 |
 Don Lemon sentenced to prison? | No | 390.55 | $0.891 | $372 | +$24.13 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 400 | $0.760 | $346 | +$42 |
 Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 400 | $0.480 | $162 | -$30 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 281.21 | $0.290 | $97.02 | +$15.47 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.776 | $64.5 | -$13.13 |
| sell |
| 58.71 |
| $0.530 |
| $31.12 |
| May 27, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 840 | $0.830 | $697.2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.820 | $1.3 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?Yes | sell | 55.48 | $0.870 | $48.27 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | sell | 0.5 | $0.150 | $0.08 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.480 | $192 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Chris Gober be the Republican Nominee for TX-10?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.876 | $87.6 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.776 | $77.63 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Don Lemon charges dropped?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.404 | $404.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.607 | $6.07 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.690 | $345 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Stefon Diggs suspended this season?No | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 960 | $0.008 | $7.29 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.037 | $37.03 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.844 | $928.88 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?Avatar | sell | 1.36K | $0.004 | $5.69 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5?No | buy | 3.87K | $0.781 | $3.02K | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 1.75K | $0.979 | $1.71K | Dec 19, 2025 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.330 | $198 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.058 | $52.2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.100 | $90 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?No | buy | 135 | $0.855 | $115.41 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | buy | 81.1 | $0.488 | $39.62 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.3K | $0.180 | $414 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 281.21 | $0.290 | $81.55 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?No | sell | 121.56 | $0.820 | $99.68 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | buy | 135.2 | $0.456 | $61.65 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes | buy | 802.22 | $0.476 | $381.54 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?No | buy | 589.98 | $0.716 | $422.17 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No | buy | 600 | $0.630 | $378 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 170.98 | $0.330 | $56.42 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 400 | $0.760 | $304 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?Yes | buy | 224.99 | $0.120 | $27 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?Avatar | buy | 2.5K | $0.059 | $148.44 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 462.76 | $0.750 | $347.07 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Texans vs. ChiefsTexans | buy | 799.79 | $0.370 | $295.92 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.380 | $152 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?No | sell | 282.78 | $0.001 | $0.28 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?Yes | sell | 2.08K | $0.002 | $4.15 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?Yes | buy | 1.86K | $0.050 | $93.07 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?Yes | buy | 138.63 | $0.198 | $27.46 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?No | buy | 542.46 | $0.788 | $427.42 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 5–10%?No | buy | 1K | $0.690 | $690 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | sell | 75 | $0.670 | $50.25 | Dec 1, 2025 |