Analytics
Trading ended on 9 Aug 2026 with Yes at 4%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 245 daily closes on record from 31 Jan 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 3.3% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.3%; a month before, 4.9%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 49.5% on 29 Apr 2026.
$7.09K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Staid-Purse with 1.3K shares; the largest No position is ImJustKen with 862. Ten wallets hold 88.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 8:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 245 points, 31 Jan 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | 37.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 4.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Staid-Purse | Yes | 1.32K |
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 862.28 |
| ReCoPM |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Don Lemon is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges related to his arrest on January 30, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Don Lemon is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.” If at any point all charges against Don Lemon for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/don-lemon-sentenced-to-prison
| No |
| 390.55 |
| Aurelius7 | Yes | 307.24 |
| ChixNStix | No | 220 |
| Talophex | No | 187.43 |
| jmz | No | 164.95 |
| ultraplayz | No | 100 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 95 |
| barooo001 | Yes | 90.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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