Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-12 House seat? | No | 144 | $0.910 | $143.35 | +$12.31 |
 Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?No | buy | 97.87 | $0.734 | $71.83 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 111 |
| $0.942 |
| $106.78 |
| +$2.27 |
 Human moon landing in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.953 | $99.2 | +$3.9 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 100 | $0.959 | $98.1 | +$2.2 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.920 | $97.9 | +$5.9 |
 Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.930 | $97.9 | +$4.9 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.972 | $97.55 | +$0.35 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.930 | $96.95 | +$3.95 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.920 | $96.95 | +$4.95 |
 Obama divorce before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.950 | $96.75 | +$1.75 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.950 | $96.55 | +$1.55 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.920 | $96.15 | +$4.15 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 100 | $0.890 | $96.15 | +$7.15 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.870 | $95.85 | +$8.85 |
 Don Lemon sentenced to prison? | No | 100 | $0.890 | $95.25 | +$6.25 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.910 | $95.05 | +$4.05 |
 Will US annex any territory in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.910 | $94.85 | +$3.84 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.840 | $94.5 | +$10.5 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.690 | $94.5 | +$25.5 |
 Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | No | 99.82 | $0.840 | $93.83 | +$10.02 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.930 | $93.5 | +$0.5 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.880 | $93.5 | +$5.5 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.900 | $92.5 | +$2.5 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 100 | $0.770 | $91.5 | +$14.5 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 100 | $0.738 | $91 | +$17.16 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.920 |
| $92 |
| Apr 18, 2026 |
 Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.791 | $79.05 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by April 30?No | buy | 41.35 | $0.550 | $22.74 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 93.83 | $0.732 | $68.64 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.327 | $32.71 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 95.28 | $0.410 | $39.06 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 99.72 | $0.965 | $96.23 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 99.79 | $0.974 | $97.2 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 98.23 | $0.779 | $76.54 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 99.7 | $0.950 | $94.72 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.963 | $96.27 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.110 | $5.49 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.760 | $18.24 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat?No | buy | 15 | $0.800 | $12 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.289 | $12.99 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.140 | $4.24 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat?No | buy | 30 | $0.840 | $25.2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the UT-01 House seat?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.760 | $12.92 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.288 | $16.12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.150 | $2.25 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.419 | $16.33 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.394 | $8.66 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-12 House seat?No | buy | 144 | $0.910 | $131.04 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 38 | $0.790 | $30.02 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.629 | $62.85 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.309 | $3.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.290 | $2.03 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Alexis Hill win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 80 | $0.880 | $70.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.230 | $8.74 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during the Black History Month reception?Yes | buy | 100.29 | $0.997 | $100 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during the Black History Month reception?Yes | buy | 100.3 | $0.997 | $100 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Black History Month reception?No | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Black History Month reception?No | buy | 101.12 | $0.989 | $100 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Black American" 5+ times during the Black History Month reception?Yes | sell | 283 | $0.990 | $280.17 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Black American" 5+ times during the Black History Month reception?Yes | sell | 20.2 | $0.125 | $2.53 | Feb 18, 2026 |