Analytics
Yes is at 2%, down 20 points from 21.5% when the market opened on 29 Jan 2026.
Across the 253 daily closes on record from 29 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 24.5% on 26 Feb 2026 and the lowest 1.9% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5%; a month before, 6.7%. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 10.5% on 2 May 2026.
$36.99K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $16.04K, with a 0.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 422 trades, $1.4K bought Yes and $10.09K bought No; the largest was a $1.58K buy of No at 91.2¢.
The largest Yes position is SM4RTAsS with 2.5K shares; the largest No position is Ajjooli with 9.5K. Ten wallets hold 86% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 253 points, 29 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2026 | 21.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 2.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ajjooli | No | 9.54K |
| SM4RTAsS | Yes | 2.53K |
| Homeless-the-grey | Yes | 2.09K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/dutch-house-of-representatives-dissolved-in-2026
| Parvizio |
| Yes |
| 1.49K |
| Near-Tell | Yes | 487.01 |
| All-Scrambled | Yes | 476.19 |
| Azure Signal 2376 | Yes | 308.31 |
| PaulPietusma | Yes | 307.16 |
| MelanieFelony | Yes | 283 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 238.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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