Analytics
Yes is at 3.8%, down 12 points from 16% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 326 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43.5% on 20 Mar 2026 and the lowest 2% on 1 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.6%; a month before, 3.5%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 15% on 26 Mar 2026.
$2.2K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $937.01, with a 1.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 152 trades, $66.64 bought Yes and $646.66 bought No.
The largest Yes position is 9df with 183 shares; the largest No position is Solar Raven A90C with 153. Ten wallets hold 72.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 326 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 16.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 9df | Yes | 182.96 |
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 152.63 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 123.3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama announce their intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/obama-divorce-before-2027
| Big-Lyocell-Recollection | No | 117.02 |
| ultraplayz | No | 100 |
| departamentoin | Yes | 65.19 |
| yen4u | No | 64.7 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 49.48 |
| Giar | Yes | 41.67 |
| xantham | Yes | 39.75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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