Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 89.29 | $0.112 | $54.02 | +$44.02 |
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 3d ago |
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| Yes |
| 75 |
| $0.080 |
| $4.13 |
| -$1.88 |
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | Yes | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3.86 | +$0.86 |
Obama divorce before 2027? | Yes | 65.19 | $0.092 | $2.18 | -$3.82 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.150 | $2 | -$3 |
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 37.5 | $0.160 | $1.69 | -$4.31 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 30.77 | $0.065 | $1.18 | -$0.82 |
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.068 | $1.13 | -$0.87 |
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.120 | $1.1 | -$1.3 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.250 | $1.1 | -$1.4 |
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.85 | -$0.15 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.81 | -$0.19 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.74 | -$0.26 |
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.7 | -$0.3 |
Russia coup attempt in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.69 | -$0.31 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.130 | $0.65 | -$0.65 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 7.3 | $0.137 | $0.65 | -$0.35 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.012 | $0.54 | -$0.46 |
New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 3.23 | $0.310 | $0.34 | -$0.66 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.100 |
| $1 |
| 3d ago |
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | 3d ago |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | 3d ago |
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.470 | $3 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | sell | 24 | $0.450 | $10.8 | Jun 18, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?No | buy | 68.97 | $0.029 | $2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 101.37 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.003 | $2.1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.01K | $0.001 | $2.01 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | May 27, 2026 |
Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | May 27, 2026 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | May 27, 2026 |
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 48.78 | $0.050 | $2.44 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.19K | $0.012 | $14.02 | May 26, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.027 | $2.7 | May 25, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 25, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.080 | $6 | May 24, 2026 |
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | May 24, 2026 |
Will "Passenger" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 61.2 | $0.098 | $6 | May 24, 2026 |
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 41.6 | $0.024 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.065 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.068 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.35 | $0.021 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.041 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
Brex IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 90.54 | $0.013 | $1.18 | May 23, 2026 |
Canva IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.058 | $1.17 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.011 | $1.5 | May 23, 2026 |
Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.007 | $1.16 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.014 | $2.03 | May 23, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.157 | $3.14 | May 23, 2026 |
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes | sell | 25.82 | $0.209 | $5.4 | May 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 555.55 | $0.011 | $6.11 | May 23, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.029 | $9.82 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |