Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 200 | $0.520 | $109 | +$5 |
 Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 99.99 |
| $0.660 |
| $94.49 |
| +$28.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.760 | $93.5 | +$17.5 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.450 | $92.5 | +$47.5 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.490 | $86 | +$37 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.682 | $85.1 | +$16.9 |
 Blue wave in 2026? | No | 239.99 | $0.259 | $49.2 | -$13 |
 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | Yes | 86 | $0.830 | $48.59 | -$22.79 |
 Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.860 | $47.65 | +$4.65 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.750 | $46.75 | +$9.25 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 99.99 | $0.794 | $46.15 | -$33.25 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.760 | $44.63 | +$6.63 |
 Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.926 | $38.8 | +$1.76 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 50 | $0.850 | $38.75 | -$3.75 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 50 | $0.750 | $35.25 | -$2.25 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 80 | $0.420 | $28.4 | -$5.2 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 50 | $0.401 | $26.93 | +$6.88 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 49.99 | $0.739 | $26.77 | -$10.17 |
 Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 50 | $0.470 | $26.5 | +$3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 50 | $0.460 | $24.75 | +$1.75 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 50 | $0.540 | $24.25 | -$2.75 |
 KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.810 | $18.77 | +$2.57 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.930 | $18.75 | +$0.15 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.480 | $16.5 | -$31.5 |
 Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.624 | $16.29 | +$3.81 |
| sell |
| 200 |
| $0.940 |
| $188 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.320 | $64 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 200 | $0.810 | $162.06 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.942 | $188.32 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.966 | $193.19 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?No | sell | 50 | $0.971 | $48.55 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?No | sell | 50 | $0.982 | $49.1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No | sell | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No | sell | 200 | $0.942 | $188.4 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)No | sell | 49.99 | $0.976 | $48.79 | May 25, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.981 | $196.19 | May 25, 2026 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 in May?No | sell | 50 | $0.966 | $48.3 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?No | buy | 1K | $0.998 | $998 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?No | buy | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | May 8, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No | sell | 40 | $0.660 | $26.4 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 40 | $0.820 | $32.8 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 17.15 | $0.920 | $15.78 | May 7, 2026 |
 Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?No | sell | 19.99 | $0.850 | $16.99 | May 7, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | May 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.700 | $56 | May 7, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes | sell | 59.99 | $0.888 | $53.3 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | sell | 40 | $0.976 | $39.04 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.947 | $75.76 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.330 | $33 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on March 4?Down | sell | 20 | $0.004 | $0.08 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 270 | $0.080 | $21.6 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.096 | $4.8 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.117 | $17.5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?No | buy | 4.77 | $0.700 | $3.34 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 118.96 | $0.310 | $36.88 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.157 | $3.13 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.450 | $90 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.220 | $44 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 201 | $0.037 | $7.44 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 13?No | buy | 501 | $0.998 | $500 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 12?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?Yes | buy | 7.12 | $0.843 | $6 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 23?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.960 | $40 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 20?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 19?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?No | buy | 40.12 | $0.997 | $40 | Jan 16, 2026 |