Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 19.49 | $0.770 | $19.19 | +$4.19 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.22 | $0.237 | $1 | 13d ago |
 |
| No |
| 23.36 |
| $0.428 |
| $18.69 |
| +$8.69 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 42.07 | $0.483 | $14.79 | -$5.52 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 18.52 | $0.540 | $9.35 | -$0.65 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 18.6 | $0.723 | $6.6 | -$6.84 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5.4 | +$0.4 |
 Blue wave in 2026? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5.29 | +$0.29 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 5.57 | $0.898 | $5.28 | +$0.28 |
 Is Earth flat? | No | 5.12 | $0.976 | $5.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 6.3 | $0.794 | $4.78 | -$0.22 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.61 | $0.263 | $3.23 | +$1.23 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 8.82 | $0.340 | $3.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4.24 | $0.590 | $2.56 | +$0.06 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes | 3.62 | $0.690 | $2.45 | -$0.05 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 2.94 | $0.340 | $0.96 | -$0.04 |
 Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.59 | -$0.41 |
 Will Congress override any veto in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| buy |
| 1.14 |
| $0.880 |
| $1 |
| 15d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.295 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 6.26 | $0.849 | $5.31 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.02 | $0.870 | $5.24 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?No | sell | 6.17 | $0.910 | $5.61 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 11.76 | $0.999 | $11.75 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 6.27 | $0.798 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes | buy | 3.62 | $0.690 | $2.5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.49 | $0.590 | $3.24 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.37 | $0.280 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.74 | $0.253 | $1.45 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Blue wave in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.911 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.37 | $0.931 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.81 | $0.940 | $5.46 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.74 | $0.950 | $5.45 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 13.79 | $0.954 | $13.16 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 20.67 | $0.840 | $17.36 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.997 | $6.64 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 12.65 | $0.996 | $12.6 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |