Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5.31 | +$0.31 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 5.38 |
| $0.930 |
| $5.29 |
| +$0.29 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | No | 5.11 | $0.978 | $4.93 | -$0.07 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 8.52 | $0.470 | $4.22 | +$0.22 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3.84 | +$0.84 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 3.41 | $0.879 | $3.35 | +$0.35 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | No | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3.21 | +$0.21 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2.45 | +$0.45 |
 Alcatraz reopened in 2026? | No | 2.14 | $0.718 | $2.1 | +$0.56 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
 Blue wave in 2026? | Yes | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.54 | $0.153 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.35 | $0.740 | $0.68 | -$0.32 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $0.67 | -$0.33 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.86 | $0.350 | $0.41 | -$0.59 |
| buy |
| 8.45 |
| $0.592 |
| $5 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETUp | buy | 7.28 | $0.120 | $0.87 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump dance during UFC 327?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.920 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 14.41 | $0.060 | $0.86 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.976 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Pershing Square acquires Universal Music Group by June 30?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.870 | $0.99 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Alcatraz reopened in 2026?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.930 | $1.99 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.880 | $1.98 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% in April?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.836 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.762 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | buy | 3.94 | $0.762 | $3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.879 | $3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.500 | $1.22 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.290 | $0.58 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?No | sell | 11.62 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Ryanair say "Union" during earnings call?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump sue NYT/Siena over polling by Feb 28?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the January meeting?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.54 | $0.153 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |