Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

economyActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes

0.1%

100.0%

Yes costs 0.05¢No costs 99.95¢

24h Volume

Total volume

$5.0M

Liquidity

$504.2K

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Topic roomFed and FOMC

Open positions

The positions Polymarket reports for this market, largest first.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.01M	0.0%	$0
JustCrazy	Yes	210.21K	0.1%	$210.21	Aug 18, 12:08 PM UTC
YasZoso	Yes	150K	0.2%	$299.88
pregamee	Yes	100K	0.1%	$100
Joebama	Yes	45K	0.9%	$390.6
betterfasterstronger	Yes	40.53K	7.7%	$3.12K
xvsp	Yes	37.27K	0.6%	$208.92
Copezilla	Yes	33.5K	0.3%	$100.48
alwayslatetotheparty	Yes	22.7K	7.7%	$1.75K
Robust-Everybody	Yes	19.71K	0.9%	$170.08
WolfCharge	Yes	18.21K	0.3%	$51.07	Aug 17, 2:57 PM UTC
augustine314	Yes	17.78K	0.5%	$98.24
zdenek1	Yes	16.8K	0.1%	$20.74	Oct 1, 3:23 AM UTC
rainbowlilies	Yes	15.87K	1.1%	$173.14	Aug 18, 5:26 AM UTC
WarriorH	Yes	15.8K	6.4%	$1.01K
Trim-Caution	Yes	15.33K	0.2%	$36.69
zenosnl11	Yes	13K	0.3%	$38.98
houseru	Yes	12.99K	0.5%	$71.11
e46m3	Yes	11.06K	7.7%	$850.51	Aug 14, 4:57 PM UTC
Brisk-Binoculars	Yes	10K	0.1%	$9.99	Oct 16, 6:10 PM UTC
tmyk	Yes	9.98K	0.5%	$49.9
donthackme	Yes	9.36K	7.7%	$719.74	Aug 14, 5:49 PM UTC
cigarettes	Yes	8.44K	7.7%	$648.89
hqzxbktmrawplhncxfgdjyvsoeuikmtb	Yes	8K	2.8%	$220.26
Anchored-Editor	Yes	7K	0.3%	$20.99
qwen300.fund	Yes	6.45K	7.7%	$496.17	Aug 17, 11:58 PM UTC
Turbulent-Decline-Router	Yes	6.37K	7.7%	$490.08
HerrieDavis	Yes	6.2K	7.7%	$476.69
suntori	Yes	5.71K	0.1%	$5.7	Sep 14, 10:46 AM UTC
Hourglass	Yes	5.38K	7.7%	$413.83	Aug 14, 5:49 PM UTC
purplegatto	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	Oct 21, 7:51 AM UTC
Election2024	Yes	5K	0.3%	$15
888facai	Yes	5K	0.3%	$15
intermester	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10	Aug 17, 10:01 PM UTC
Jade Quasar D7A7	Yes	4.42K	7.4%	$328.76
balthazar	Yes	4.04K	7.7%	$310.84	Aug 14, 5:49 PM UTC
Admirable-Trust	Yes	3.64K	7.7%	$280.31	Aug 14, 5:50 PM UTC
subzero	Yes	3.5K	0.3%	$11
ACara	Yes	3.26K	0.3%	$11.1
Flamboyant-Warming	Yes	2.9K	1.7%	$48.41
simplystupid188	Yes	2.72K	0.4%	$11.05
nofreelunch	Yes	2.5K	0.4%	$10
Lucerys	Yes	2.38K	7.7%	$183.32
Cobalt Atlas A4C2	Yes	2.36K	7.7%	$181.44	Aug 17, 3:46 AM UTC
Lingo66	Yes	2.2K	0.1%	$2.2	Sep 22, 1:40 PM UTC
avengers2357avengers	Yes	2.08K	7.8%	$161.86
Prickly-Eyrie	Yes	2.06K	0.7%	$14.76
IP1380	Yes	2K	0.1%	$3
Priadka	Yes	2K	0.6%	$12
haruk098	Yes	1.91K	0.3%	$5.87
gogouno	Yes	1.67K	0.3%	$5
Logan.	Yes	1.58K	0.0%	$0
aenews1	Yes	1.54K	1.6%	$25.3
Feisty-Orientation	Yes	1.5K	0.8%	$12.64
Coral Orbit E8E5	Yes	1.5K	0.1%	$1.5	Oct 27, 3:38 AM UTC
kneelbeforetheking	Yes	1.5K	7.7%	$115.38
Poiuztrewq	Yes	1.5K	1.6%	$23.5
Siziriv	Yes	1.5K	4.2%	$62.42
Big-Dash-Bongo	Yes	1.33K	0.2%	$3
Poor-Sentencing	Yes	1.33K	0.3%	$4
pestanimal	Yes	1.3K	4.2%	$54.17
Haradwaith	Yes	1.26K	8.2%	$103.97
ViVeViSfy	Yes	1.25K	0.1%	$1.25	Sep 10, 7:41 AM UTC
rocky42022	Yes	1.25K	1.5%	$18.95
xlefgerx	Yes	1.23K	0.5%	$6.68
korda77	Yes	1.2K	7.7%	$92.23	Aug 17, 3:46 AM UTC
nryy	Yes	1.19K	0.4%	$4.87
bluescluez	Yes	1.19K	0.8%	$9.52
2B9S	Yes	1.17K	0.2%	$2.34
.0.	Yes	1.1K	0.9%	$10.39
merod	Yes	1.04K	7.7%	$79.69	Aug 17, 3:46 AM UTC
Crypt-Shiv	Yes	1.02K	0.9%	$9.1
69dsfs	Yes	1.01K	0.1%	$1.01
labistiiia	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
Silver Quasar BF40	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Aug 23, 6:17 PM UTC
norealtime	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
Ivory Tide A3D5	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Aug 28, 8:33 AM UTC
JupSon	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Sep 1, 12:29 PM UTC
YesVolume	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Sep 19, 4:25 AM UTC
No-risk-no-bisc	Yes	1K	0.5%	$5
Lyka2.718281	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Oct 23, 9:22 PM UTC
Labas.As.Tomas	Yes	1K	0.7%	$7
Anne666	Yes	999.83	0.1%	$1
Violet Ledger 8779	Yes	954.14	1.5%	$14.24
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	886.97	0.0%	$0
Boberts1	Yes	833.33	0.6%	$5
GingerMcKenna	Yes	800.71	7.8%	$62
tamalaile	Yes	800	0.2%	$1.6
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	780.53	0.3%	$1.94
FlashTradeOracle	Yes	666.68	0.3%	$2
Golden Sphinx BDF5	Yes	636.67	0.6%	$3.82
pleasedontstopthemusic	Yes	556.51	7.7%	$42.81
mustbethewater	Yes	540	7.7%	$41.54	Aug 17, 3:46 AM UTC
acc32	Yes	500.01	0.2%	$1
Gorea	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Swift Comet D09D	Yes	500	0.7%	$3.5
Venerated-App	Yes	500	0.8%	$4
Reliable-Default	Yes	497.52	0.5%	$2.5
northdrawer	Yes	441.66	7.7%	$33.89	Aug 14, 6:09 PM UTC
god83743894	Yes	430.74	7.7%	$33.15
SPLPB	Yes	414.18	7.7%	$31.86
smallreceipt	Yes	409.85	7.6%	$31.36
peepeepooppoop	Yes	409.47	7.7%	$31.5
fiter	Yes	400.01	0.2%	$0.8
mildwindow27	Yes	390.96	7.5%	$29.37
Jovial-Remains-Scarf	Yes	380.4	7.7%	$29.26
godblessme2026	Yes	366.85	7.7%	$28.13
Bare-Effective	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
TravelerJeff	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
LornaPredicts	Yes	332.49	4.4%	$14.59
Draffa	Yes	300	0.3%	$0.9
FreeCityIndividual	Yes	299.99	0.0%	$0
Novus0rdoSeclorum	Yes	291	7.7%	$22.38
BAWANGMAO	Yes	290	0.3%	$0.91
aHjCz	Yes	289.85	7.7%	$22.3	Aug 14, 5:51 PM UTC
Strange-Limit	Yes	285.71	0.7%	$2
Terrific-Lover	Yes	285.71	0.7%	$2
VictorLudorum	Yes	275	7.7%	$21.15	Aug 16, 7:47 PM UTC
dsfd3	Yes	260	0.1%	$0.26	Sep 16, 7:46 PM UTC
FutureTech	Yes	260	0.7%	$1.84
FrankyFourFingers	Yes	256.19	2.0%	$5.12
KkkEndriK	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
poposub	Yes	242.01	7.4%	$17.75
Tee1000	Yes	240.65	5.7%	$13.74
Jade Maven 34B8	Yes	240	4.2%	$10
Rubic007	Yes	239.84	0.3%	$0.81
graynotebook19	Yes	227.71	7.5%	$17.16	Aug 17, 3:46 AM UTC
PencilSharpener	Yes	219.99	0.9%	$1.98
KickstandBot	Yes	210	4.3%	$9.03
xiaoaojiang	Yes	205	0.2%	$0.41
Kindly-Loggia	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Ruxpin84	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Jade Summit 0A53	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Griffin716	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
tradguy	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Hilton9998	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
cwc909	Yes	200	4.2%	$8.33
hengzeng	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
silentbob01	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
serialcode	Yes	181.82	1.1%	$2
cloudyartifact	Yes	180	7.7%	$13.85
123987456	Yes	176.65	7.7%	$13.59
LesterDiamond	Yes	150.27	7.1%	$10.6
Deafening-Possible	Yes	150	0.1%	$0.15
Majestic-Mode	Yes	149	0.7%	$1.04
Neon Summit 18A1	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Solar Oracle 1EE4	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
snic	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
0x00000000	Yes	132.19	1.5%	$1.96
cryingbabydicer87	Yes	130	7.7%	$10
cubandave29	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
kunsect77	Yes	119.75	7.7%	$9.21
JoE	Yes	107.33	7.7%	$8.26
JULIECUT	No	100.4	99.6%	$100
ma99	Yes	100.01	0.2%	$0.2
akunai	Yes	100	0.2%	$0.2
brzcfh	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
MoneyManLim	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
fm14	Yes	100	0.2%	$0.2
Dr.Sharif	Yes	100	0.2%	$0.2
AheadArbitrage	Yes	100	0.2%	$0.2
Jade Horizon 2B6D	Yes	100	0.5%	$0.5
wilhelmeister06	Yes	100	0.3%	$0.3
plainfolder	Yes	96.43	7.8%	$7.52
ghorrock	Yes	89.57	4.6%	$4.11
38791873984189	Yes	82	7.7%	$6.31
fang1957	Yes	80	0.2%	$0.16
quietparcel	Yes	76.41	7.5%	$5.7	Aug 16, 7:10 PM UTC
Safe-Foot	Yes	62.5	1.6%	$1
jennylulu2016	Yes	62	4.2%	$2.58
capetsa	Yes	60	0.0%	$0
quiddy	Yes	50.26	0.0%	$0
rated	Yes	42.19	7.7%	$3.27
kandinsky	Yes	40	2.5%	$1
Truthful-Discharge	Yes	40	0.4%	$0.16
itsjustcheddar	Yes	38.96	50.0%	$19.48
quidy	Yes	37.07	0.0%	$0
ytuhgyh	No	35.18	99.5%	$35
hujie	No	35.14	99.6%	$35
pd.unique	Yes	35.01	7.7%	$2.69
benzege	No	30.12	99.6%	$30
dxjfdc	No	30.12	99.6%	$30
untaken	Yes	28.85	0.0%	$0
OpenCrabAI	Yes	26.67	0.3%	$0.08
jiahaoge	No	26.13	99.5%	$26
JordanMooney	Yes	25.03	6.6%	$1.65
planktonXD	Yes	25	2.1%	$0.53
Rapid Falcon 3E2E	Yes	25	4.2%	$1.04
HappyHippocampus	Yes	25	0.1%	$0.03
Jes58961094	No	24.02	99.9%	$24
yrtghdf	No	23.12	99.5%	$23
baofuge	No	21.11	99.5%	$21
LoriSilva6031	Yes	21	0.7%	$0.15
BlueMoon3	No	20.2	99.0%	$20
k1tten	Yes	20	0.0%	$0
pentacap	Yes	20	0.0%	$0
TurtleFlair	Yes	20	7.7%	$1.54
LBZbot2	Yes	20	0.4%	$0.08
dgefff	No	19.1	99.5%	$19
lineaa6	No	18.09	99.5%	$18
jensond	Yes	16.12	0.0%	$0
Zukens	No	15.12	99.2%	$15
richmond1	Yes	12	11.4%	$1.37
JoyMontgomery927	No	11.71	99.9%	$11.7
gamblingbling	Yes	11	3.3%	$0.36
8347	No	10.02	99.8%	$10
duor	No	10	99.9%	$9.99
babyalgo	Yes	10	4.2%	$0.42
NoLoyaltyToTheBosses	Yes	10	0.0%	$0
letmecookibegyou	Yes	10	0.0%	$0
wankerjoesleeper	Yes	9.95	0.0%	$0
PmProkas	No	7.01	99.9%	$7
products	No	6.68	99.7%	$6.54
Angela7438	No	6.41	99.9%	$6.4
xiaoff	Yes	6	4.2%	$0.25
mapleggg	Yes	6	7.7%	$0.46
Sleepy-Cactus	Yes	6	0.1%	$0.01
EliseVargas380	No	5.11	99.9%	$5.1
saka83828	No	5.02	99.6%	$5
health2025	No	5.01	99.9%	$5
TaylorSmit16	No	5.01	99.9%	$5
38791873984189	No	5	99.7%	$4.99
68eight	No	5	99.8%	$4.99
Genuine-Vintage	Yes	5	0.2%	$0.01
Ivory Meteor 0BDA	Yes	5	0.4%	$0.02
denso	Yes	5	4.2%	$0.21
vitalikbt	Yes	5	0.2%	$0.01
InfiniteMoneyGlitchBot	Yes	5	7.6%	$0.38
ArielReed797	No	4.8	99.9%	$4.8
shine	Yes	4.47	7.1%	$0.32
huyewell	Yes	4.35	0.2%	$0.01
asfdt13	No	4	99.8%	$3.99
Evador	Yes	3.88	0.7%	$0.03
EmmaWarner878	No	3.62	99.8%	$3.61
andersoncreola830	No	3.01	99.8%	$3
IsabelleTaylor350	No	2.9	99.9%	$2.9
HopeFields683	No	2.9	99.9%	$2.9
Margaret3315	No	2.9	99.9%	$2.9
FlashTradeOracleTester	No	2.74	99.5%	$2.72
meaganrusiimwa	No	2.71	99.8%	$2.7
jowitriviani	No	2.51	99.7%	$2.5
purpledream	Yes	2	7.7%	$0.15
Ivory Raven 24DD	Yes	1.83	0.4%	$0.01
Violet Sphinx 19D1	Yes	1.77	0.5%	$0.01
animal.bean	Yes	1.68	4.2%	$0.07
Gabavenski	No	1.44	99.9%	$1.44
Teverria	No	1.25	99.9%	$1.25
FrancesErickson548	No	1.2	99.9%	$1.2
Royal Lynx C70D	No	1.19	100.4%	$1.19
Shroud	No	1.1	99.8%	$1.1
Ivory Harbor 4C98	Yes	1.07	0.5%	$0.01
pmbull	No	1.04	99.1%	$1.03
no1233	No	1.02	99.4%	$1.01
R21llsa	Yes	1.02	0.3%	$0
BuyTheDip007	Yes	1.02	7.7%	$0.08
236werii	No	1.01	99.3%	$1
Mitherandir	No	1.01	99.4%	$1
aremala	No	1	99.9%	$1
Jade Quasar D7A7	No	1	96.5%	$0.97
xyk09	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
Meek-Board	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
xyk05	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
xyk06	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
xyk122	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
xyk02.	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
xyk03	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
xiyankai1	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
Dependent-Convention	Yes	0.99	0.3%	$0
Crimson Kestrel 6A7C	Yes	0.98	0.5%	$0
qiyana	Yes	0.97	0.4%	$0
mygogogo	Yes	0.89	0.2%	$0
Lunar Tide 00C3	Yes	0.72	0.0%	$0
EdwardLewis	Yes	0.58	7.3%	$0.04
Limping-Baggie-Technique	No	0.41	99.9%	$0.41
Keen Atlas C3EE	No	0.31	99.4%	$0.31
Quizzical-Midden	No	0.3	99.5%	$0.3
tryrobo	Yes	0.28	0.6%	$0
gugigu	No	0.2	99.8%	$0.2
Formal-Jackal	Yes	0.19	1.0%	$0
hjjkj	No	0.11	99.5%	$0.11
sndgndfgdxfb	No	0.1	99.4%	$0.1

281 of 281 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$1.01M
JustCrazy	$105.1
JULIECUT	$100.35

Topic room

Read this market in context

Fed and FOMC oddsWhat will the Fed do at its next meeting?

What to watch in Fed and FOMC

Inflation and jobs releases between meetings
Speeches and testimony by the chair and voting members
The statement, projections and press conference at each meeting

Upcoming in this topic

28 Oct 2026FOMC decision (meeting 27–28 October)
9 Dec 2026FOMC decision and projections (meeting 8–9 December)

Research behind the numbers

Analytics