Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election? | Yes | 50 | $0.500 | $47.75 | +$22.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be at least $1,216,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 14.44 | $0.003 | $0.04 | 25d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 5.55K |
| $0.031 |
| $47.18 |
| -$126.26 |
 Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.500 | $46.25 | +$21.25 |
 Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election? | Yes | 50 | $0.500 | $44.75 | +$19.75 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | Yes | 50 | $0.500 | $42 | +$17 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 50 | $0.850 | $39.75 | -$2.75 |
 Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | Yes | 50 | $0.500 | $38.25 | +$13.25 |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.820 | $34.2 | +$1.4 |
 Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | Yes | 93.35 | $0.509 | $30.34 | -$17.2 |
 Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election? | Yes | 30 | $0.500 | $29.63 | +$14.63 |
 Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election? | Yes | 30 | $0.500 | $28.89 | +$13.89 |
 Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | Yes | 100 | $0.032 | $24.5 | +$21.27 |
 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? | Yes | 50 | $0.111 | $24.4 | +$18.84 |
 Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Yes | 33.92 | $0.500 | $23.07 | +$6.11 |
 Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? | Yes | 30 | $0.500 | $22.8 | +$7.8 |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 50 | $0.031 | $22.28 | +$20.71 |
 Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 23.29 | $0.626 | $19.92 | +$5.33 |
 Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? | Yes | 30 | $0.500 | $19.65 | +$4.65 |
 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 36.55 | $0.500 | $19.19 | +$0.91 |
 Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 31.2 | $0.504 | $19.03 | +$3.31 |
 Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 140 and 150? | Yes | 50 | $0.167 | $18.1 | +$9.77 |
 Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 55,000 and 60,000? | Yes | 50 | $0.125 | $15.25 | +$9 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.500 | $13.7 | +$3.7 |
 Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | Yes | 100 | $0.032 | $13.15 | +$9.92 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 35.26 | $0.167 | $12.16 | +$6.29 |
| sell |
| 19.99 |
| $0.951 |
| $19.01 |
| Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.951 | $19.02 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.951 | $19.02 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.951 | $19.02 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.952 | $19.03 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.010 | $0.15 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,242,000 and $1,264,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 17.2 | $0.023 | $0.4 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.280 | $6.44 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.206 | $8.24 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.276 | $55.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.338 | $13.52 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.440 | $88 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.239 | $11.95 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.150 | $7.5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.336 | $1.68 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.125 | $6.25 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.208 | $10.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.340 | $17 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.00 and $3.00 on July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Shakira Austin have the highest blocks per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.021 | $0.42 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the Chicago Cubs hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will New Hampshire have the closest Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.031 | $0.62 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Robert Luna win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.855 | $42.77 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.850 | $42.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.660 | $48.84 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.977 | $48.85 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Yes | sell | 130.99 | $0.340 | $44.54 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | sell | 148.21 | $0.300 | $44.41 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes | sell | 47.46 | $0.921 | $43.71 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $2.00 on July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 53.73 | $0.030 | $1.61 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 33.99 | $0.972 | $33.04 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central titleYes | sell | 40 | $0.770 | $30.8 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 NL Central title?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.934 | $46.69 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 55.5 | $0.839 | $46.56 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 95 | $0.670 | $63.65 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 79.35 | $0.920 | $73 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.580 | $104.4 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 322.07 | $0.560 | $180.36 | Jul 16, 2026 |