Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Don Kelly win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? | Yes | 635 | $0.048 | $6.67 | -$23.57 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?Yes | sell | 71.22 | $0.001 | $0.08 | 7m ago |
| Yes |
| 823.3 |
| $0.031 |
| $0.41 |
| -$25.31 |
 Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 823.3 | $0.031 | $0.41 | -$25.31 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 815.34 | $0.200 | $0.41 | -$162.66 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 800 | $0.200 | $0.4 | -$159.6 |
 Will Cal Raleigh hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 635 | $0.010 | $0.32 | -$5.91 |
| Will Manny Machado hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 635 | $0.010 | $0.32 | -$5.91 |
| Will George Springer hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 635 | $0.010 | $0.32 | -$5.91 |
| Will Aaron Judge hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 635 | $0.010 | $0.32 | -$5.91 |
| Will Shea Langeliers hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 635 | $0.010 | $0.32 | -$5.91 |
| Will Giancarlo Stanton hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 635 | $0.010 | $0.32 | -$5.91 |
| Will Eugenio Suarez hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 635 | $0.010 | $0.32 | -$5.91 |
| Will Nick Kurtz hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 627.01 | $0.010 | $0.31 | -$5.83 |
| Will Sal Stewart hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 614.89 | $0.010 | $0.31 | -$5.72 |
| Will Rafael Devers hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 607 | $0.010 | $0.3 | -$5.65 |
| Will Pete Alonso hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 607 | $0.010 | $0.3 | -$5.65 |
| Will Jordan Walker hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 559.58 | $0.010 | $0.28 | -$5.21 |
| Will Elly De La Cruz hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 534.47 | $0.010 | $0.27 | -$4.97 |
 Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 525.27 | $0.011 | $0.26 | -$5.64 |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 525.27 | $0.011 | $0.26 | -$5.64 |
| Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 525.27 | $0.011 | $0.26 | -$5.64 |
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 525.27 | $0.011 | $0.26 | -$5.64 |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 525.27 | $0.011 | $0.26 | -$5.64 |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 525.27 | $0.011 | $0.26 | -$5.64 |
 Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 513.34 | $0.029 | $0.26 | -$14.84 |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 30%-35%?Yes| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.190 |
| $1.9 |
| 16m ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 10.99 | $0.240 | $2.64 | 20m ago |
 Will Ellen Pakkies be the next mayor of Cape Town?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.002 | $0.02 | 22m ago |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.74 | $0.003 | $0.02 | 23m ago |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.74 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 23m ago |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.74 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 23m ago |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.74 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 23m ago |
 Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?Yes | sell | 7.99 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 23m ago |
 Will Finn Dahmen (Augsburg) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 23m ago |
 Will Meta have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 6.12 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 23m ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C or higher on September 10?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 23m ago |
 Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 23m ago |
| Will Terry Francona win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 23m ago |
 Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 6.12 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 23m ago |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 23m ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 92.99 | $0.001 | $0.09 | 23m ago |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.001 | $0.03 | 23m ago |
 Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 30.34 | $0.001 | $0.03 | 23m ago |
 Will Shooters, Fishers, Farmers win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.001 | $0.04 | 23m ago |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 27.29 | $0.001 | $0.03 | 23m ago |
 Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.002 | $0.08 | 23m ago |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 30.34 | $0.001 | $0.03 | 23m ago |
 Will Union Berlin be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Yes | sell | 21.14 | $0.002 | $0.04 | 23m ago |
 Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.002 | $0.08 | 23m ago |
 Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 30.34 | $0.002 | $0.06 | 23m ago |
| Will Hamburger SV be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Yes | sell | 21.14 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 23m ago |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 20.88 | $0.002 | $0.04 | 23m ago |
 Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.002 | $0.08 | 23m ago |
 Will Libertarian win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.001 | $0.04 | 23m ago |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 27.16 | $0.001 | $0.03 | 23m ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.74 | $0.928 | $5.33 | 23m ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.020 | $0.15 | 23m ago |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 150.26 | $0.001 | $0.15 | 23m ago |
 Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town?Yes | sell | 7.84 | $0.910 | $7.13 | 23m ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.090 | $0.69 | 23m ago |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 160.26 | $0.003 | $0.48 | 23m ago |
 Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.003 | $0.12 | 23m ago |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 160.26 | $0.001 | $0.16 | 23m ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.040 | $0.31 | 23m ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 50%-55%?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.080 | $0.8 | 23m ago |
 Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.070 | $2.03 | 23m ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.270 | $2.08 | 23m ago |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 160.26 | $0.040 | $6.41 | 23m ago |
| Will Manuel Neuer (Bayern Munich) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | 23m ago |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 160.26 | $0.002 | $0.32 | 23m ago |
 Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | 59m ago |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | 1h ago |
 Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 10 | $0.859 | $8.59 | 1h ago |
 Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?No | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 1h ago |