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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9? | Yes | 45.29 | $0.500 | $45.29 | +$22.64 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hong Kong have between 525-550mm of precipitation in July?Yes | sell | 14.58 | $0.080 | $1.17 | Jul 16, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 60 |
| $0.500 |
| $29.1 |
| -$0.9 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 33 | $0.495 | $24.92 | +$8.58 |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers? | Yes | 33 | $0.143 | $24.06 | +$19.35 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 47.17 | $0.500 | $16.51 | -$7.07 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 60 | $0.500 | $12.9 | -$17.1 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 25 | $0.500 | $8.88 | -$3.62 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers? | Yes | 35.53 | $0.143 | $6.06 | +$0.98 |
| Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.500 | $4.08 | -$25.92 |
 Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | Yes | 47.5 | $0.500 | $2.47 | -$21.28 |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.500 | $1.71 | -$28.29 |
| Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | Yes | 33.38 | $0.500 | $1.4 | -$15.29 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes | 60.01 | $0.167 | $1.38 | -$8.62 |
| Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | Yes | 47.5 | $0.500 | $1.31 | -$22.44 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers? | Yes | 41.61 | $0.143 | $1.04 | -$4.9 |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | Yes | 120 | $0.497 | $0.78 | -$58.92 |
| Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.500 | $0.51 | -$29.49 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? | Yes | 30.31 | $0.500 | $0.47 | -$14.69 |
| Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | Yes | 47.5 | $0.500 | $0.4 | -$23.35 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | Yes | 60.01 | $0.500 | $0.39 | -$29.59 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers? | Yes | 22.62 | $0.143 | $0.37 | -$2.86 |
| Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.500 | $0.33 | -$29.67 |
| Will 1050 to 1099 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.500 | $0.33 | -$29.67 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers? | Yes | 29.96 | $0.143 | $0.3 | -$3.98 |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? | Yes | 120 | $0.500 | $0.18 | -$59.82 |
| sell |
| 23.46 |
| $0.100 |
| $2.35 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Hong Kong have between 475-500mm of precipitation in July?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 15?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.048 | $0.05 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Hong Kong have between 400-425mm of precipitation in July?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 14?Yes | sell | 5.22 | $0.250 | $1.31 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 14?Yes | sell | 4.77 | $0.220 | $1.05 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 15?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.100 | $0.05 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 15?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 14?Yes | sell | 8.57 | $0.120 | $1.03 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 14?Yes | sell | 1.74 | $0.140 | $0.24 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 14?Yes | sell | 0.6 | $0.060 | $0.04 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 1.89 | $0.080 | $0.15 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 27 be between 89 and 92?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.190 | $3.99 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 14?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.170 | $0.48 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 13?Yes | sell | 4.1 | $0.070 | $0.29 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.148 | $0.01 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 13?Yes | sell | 5.59 | $0.180 | $1.01 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14?Yes | sell | 4.49 | $0.310 | $1.39 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 12?Yes | sell | 0.18 | $0.180 | $0.03 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 4.94 | $0.080 | $0.4 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.050 | $0.4 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 14?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.260 | $0.78 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 13?Yes | sell | 2.69 | $0.130 | $0.35 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 1.52 | $0.250 | $0.38 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 13?Yes | sell | 7.17 | $0.172 | $1.23 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 13?Yes | sell | 2.47 | $0.300 | $0.74 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 13?Yes | sell | 1.52 | $0.120 | $0.18 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 0.74 | $0.460 | $0.34 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 7.27 | $0.100 | $0.73 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 37.91 | $0.080 | $3.03 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Hong Kong have between 575-600mm of precipitation in July?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in July?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 12?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.160 | $0.01 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 1.94 | $0.060 | $0.12 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.150 | $0.52 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 3.4 | $0.050 | $0.17 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.060 | $0 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 2.9 | $0.100 | $0.29 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.140 | $0.01 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 1.83 | $0.280 | $0.51 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 12?Yes | sell | 0.88 | $0.170 | $0.15 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.080 | $0 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 8.7 | $0.070 | $0.61 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 0.4 | $0.350 | $0.14 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | Jul 11, 2026 |