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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3.83K | $0.434 | $2.01K | +$349.98 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.420 | $420 | Mar 3, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 700 |
| $0.621 |
| $598.85 |
| +$164.48 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 2.02K | $0.238 | $586.43 | +$104.1 |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | 400 | $0.050 | $389.4 | +$369.4 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 379.99 | $0.775 | $332.49 | +$37.9 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 440 | $0.775 | $288.2 | -$52.8 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 1.56K | $0.124 | $218.98 | +$24.79 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.920 | $192.9 | +$8.9 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 302.38 | $0.428 | $170.84 | +$41.34 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | No | 199.98 | $0.625 | $150.98 | +$26 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 700 | $0.092 | $131.25 | +$66.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 280 | $0.334 | $88.2 | -$5.2 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 1.17K | $0.283 | $87.73 | -$243.3 |
 Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? | Yes | 384.98 | $0.665 | $86.62 | -$169.36 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 245.4 | $0.351 | $84.66 | -$1.46 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 360 | $0.304 | $82.8 | -$26.6 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 440 | $0.122 | $70.18 | +$16.26 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes | 80 | $0.615 | $54 | +$4.8 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.418 | $50.5 | +$8.7 |
 RFK Jr. Out by December 31? | No | 50 | $0.750 | $38.5 | +$1 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 60 | $0.413 | $30.15 | +$5.35 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 199.98 | $0.155 | $29 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 239.99 | $0.147 | $28.8 | -$6.6 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 167.64 | $0.109 | $27.66 | +$9.37 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.220 | $18.5 | -$3.5 |
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.410 |
| $410 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.320 | $640 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.760 | $152 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.968 | $1K | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?No | buy | 194.81 | $0.770 | $150 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?No | buy | 641.03 | $0.780 | $500 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?No | buy | 617.28 | $0.810 | $500 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes | buy | 131.01 | $0.382 | $50 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by more than 25%?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.870 | $1K | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 593.83 | $0.337 | $200 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?No | buy | 289.71 | $0.690 | $200 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes | buy | 512.87 | $0.390 | $200 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?Yes | buy | 2.25K | $0.222 | $500 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?Yes | buy | 1.94K | $0.257 | $500 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?No | buy | 200 | $0.390 | $78 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?No | buy | 100 | $0.770 | $77 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?No | buy | 100 | $0.770 | $77 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "Cut" 7 or more times during the March meeting?No | buy | 276.96 | $0.709 | $196.23 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Trump positive favorability on March 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Trump positive favorability on March 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.650 | $32.5 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 House control after 2024 election?Democratic | buy | 1.98K | $0.250 | $495.49 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| House control after 2024 election?Democratic | buy | 30 | $0.290 | $8.7 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | sell | 108.31 | $0.600 | $64.99 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.170 | $25.5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.120 | $30 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 WA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)Kent | buy | 300 | $0.590 | $177 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 4.0% or more?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.090 | $22.5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?No | buy | 500 | $0.240 | $120 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win New Mexico Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.080 | $80 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.090 | $180 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.046 | $230 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.090 | $90 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.113 | $56.5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Yes | buy | 300 | $0.088 | $26.4 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Yes | buy | 1K | $0.210 | $210 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.180 | $36 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.380 | $570 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 250 | $0.480 | $120 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 300 | $0.390 | $117 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.190 | $190 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.390 | $19.5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.510 | $255 | Nov 5, 2024 |