Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1.69 | +$0.69 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 370 | $0.026 | $9.62 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| No |
| 1.61 |
| $0.620 |
| $1.56 |
| +$0.56 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.89 | $0.530 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | Yes | 21.74 | $0.046 | $0.92 | -$0.08 |
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.047 | $0.9 | -$3.8 |
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | Yes | 163.36 | $0.031 | $0.57 | -$4.54 |
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.36 | -$0.64 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 2.04 | $0.490 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.005 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
| buy |
| 69.33 |
| $0.725 |
| $50.25 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No | sell | 63.28 | $0.328 | $20.75 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | sell | 30 | $0.800 | $24 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.014 | $7 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 132.64 | $0.510 | $67.65 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.939 | $54.46 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Yes | sell | 464.92 | $0.032 | $14.98 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.910 | $52.78 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 0.5 AND Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 AND Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 0.5 AND Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5 | buy | 50.25 | $0.597 | $30 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.023 | $11.5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 129 | $0.170 | $21.93 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.993 | $99.3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | buy | 38.91 | $0.257 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | buy | 38.69 | $0.258 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 334 | $0.003 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.014 | $1.4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.015 | $1.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.660 | $9.9 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.670 | $11.16 | May 22, 2026 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.850 | $11.9 | May 22, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.173 | $17.27 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.252 | $25.23 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | sell | 53.79 | $0.610 | $32.81 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.111 | $33.37 | Mar 2, 2026 |
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?OpenAI | sell | 99.99 | $0.028 | $2.78 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.610 | $38.13 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 102.22 | $0.371 | $37.97 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.460 | $46 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 418.33 | $0.110 | $46.02 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.590 | $58.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | sell | 492.25 | $0.427 | $210.42 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.088 | $35.2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.065 | $19.5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 1.54K | $0.130 | $200.2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.460 | $46 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No | buy | 0.1 | $0.175 | $0.02 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No | buy | 173.01 | $0.174 | $30.1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No | buy | 97.46 | $0.173 | $16.86 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?No | sell | 269.11 | $0.948 | $255.24 | Jan 28, 2026 |