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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 649.99 | $0.280 | $477.74 | +$295.76 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 739.64 | $0.001 | $0.74 | 19h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 300 |
| $0.130 |
| $82.5 |
| +$43.5 |
 Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 810 | $0.020 | $32 | +$15.83 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 799.99 | $0.090 | $31.6 | -$40.1 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 99.91 | $0.140 | $14.49 | +$0.5 |
 Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 2.04K | $0.001 | $3.06 | +$0.05 |
 Will SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.001 | $3 | +$1.01 |
 Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.96K | $0.001 | $2.95 | +$0.98 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 4K | $0.001 | $2 | -$2.96 |
 Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | +$0.01 |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 29.4 | $0.019 | $1.97 | +$1.41 |
| Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.001 | $1.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.020 | $0.25 | -$9.75 |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.017 | $0.25 | -$8.25 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.019 | $0 | -$0.02 |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 0.19 | $0.010 | $0 | -$0 |
| sell |
| 25 |
| $0.720 |
| $18 |
| 4d ago |
| Will SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 969.66 | $0.001 | $0.97 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 55.09 | $0.260 | $14.32 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | 7d ago |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 29.4 | $0.019 | $0.56 | 8d ago |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.031 | $5.58 | 8d ago |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.029 | $1.16 | 8d ago |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.028 | $2.51 | 8d ago |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.025 | $3.22 | 8d ago |
| Will SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 38.9 | $0.001 | $0.04 | 18d ago |
| Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 366.4 | $0.001 | $0.37 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 7.3 | $0.021 | $0.15 | 21d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 31.72 | $0.001 | $0.03 | 22d ago |
| Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 82.95 | $0.002 | $0.17 | 22d ago |
| Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 89.12 | $0.001 | $0.09 | 23d ago |
| Will SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | 24d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.021 | $6.3 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 192.18 | $0.020 | $3.84 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 176 | $0.012 | $2.11 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 382.47 | $0.009 | $3.39 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.352 | $35.25 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.001 | $1.05 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.005 | $0.1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.005 | $3 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes | sell | 15.49 | $0.840 | $13.01 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.002 | $7 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.330 | $26.4 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 469.35 | $0.011 | $5.16 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.002 | $2.28 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.005 | $0.3 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.002 | $7 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 49.99 | $0.340 | $17 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.002 | $8 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.058 | $5.8 | May 3, 2026 |