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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.080 | $13.35 | +$5.35 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 160 |
| $0.072 |
| $10 |
| -$1.56 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.080 | $9.5 | +$1.5 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.060 | $7.65 | +$1.65 |
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 100 | $0.060 | $7 | +$1 |
Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.030 | $6.25 | +$3.25 |
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.070 | $6.1 | -$0.9 |
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.046 | $5.75 | +$1.15 |
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.090 | $5.5 | -$3.5 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | Yes | 100 | $0.090 | $5.5 | -$3.5 |
Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.075 | $4.9 | -$2.56 |
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 79 | $0.090 | $4.74 | -$2.37 |
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.070 | $4.65 | -$2.35 |
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $4.6 | -$5.4 |
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.060 | $4.5 | -$1.5 |
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.040 | $4.45 | +$0.45 |
Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.041 | $3.8 | -$0.3 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 100 | $0.040 | $3.75 | -$0.25 |
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.067 | $3.7 | -$3 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 100 | $0.019 | $3.6 | +$1.7 |
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat? | Yes | 60 | $0.080 | $3.3 | -$1.5 |
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.070 | $3.1 | -$3.9 |
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.065 | $3.05 | -$3.45 |
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 100 | $0.033 | $2.95 | -$0.35 |
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.032 | $2.9 | -$0.3 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.021 |
| $0.11 |
| May 28, 2026 |
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.039 | $3.9 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | May 13, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.035 | $3.5 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.024 | $0.48 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.046 | $4.6 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.025 | $2.5 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.032 | $3.22 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
Trump out as President by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.019 | $1.9 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | May 12, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.016 | $1.6 | May 12, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.004 | $0.4 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.028 | $2.8 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | May 12, 2026 |
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 142.51 | $0.008 | $1.14 | May 12, 2026 |
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 30.33 | $0.011 | $0.33 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.016 | $1.6 | May 12, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.018 | $1.8 | May 11, 2026 |
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.95 | $0.012 | $0.14 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.022 | $2.2 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.009 | $0.9 | May 11, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.017 | $1.7 | May 11, 2026 |
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | May 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.004 | $0.4 | May 10, 2026 |
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.028 | $2.8 | May 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.012 | $1.23 | May 10, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.021 | $2.1 | May 9, 2026 |
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.005 | $0.5 | May 9, 2026 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.027 | $2.7 | May 8, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes | sell | 6.11 | $0.009 | $0.05 | May 6, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?Yes | buy | 45.25 | $0.020 | $0.91 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.024 | $2.4 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?No | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes | buy | 71.21 | $0.010 | $0.71 | May 3, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes | buy | 32.58 | $0.017 | $0.55 | May 2, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | May 1, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.026 | $2.6 | May 1, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | May 1, 2026 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.023 | $2.3 | May 1, 2026 |