Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | May 18, 2026 |
| No |
| 16.48 |
| $0.989 |
| $16.45 |
| +$0.16 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.14 | $0.840 | $6.89 | +$0.89 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | Yes | 5.22 | $0.957 | $5.22 | +$0.22 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | No | 10.53 | $0.760 | $4.79 | -$3.21 |
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?No| buy |
| 8.17 |
| $0.979 |
| $8 |
| May 18, 2026 |
 Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.79 | $0.910 | $8 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.22 | $0.957 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
 Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No | buy | 8.1 | $0.988 | $8 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 14.39 | $0.973 | $14 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.981 | $10 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.980 | $20 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 42.34 | $0.990 | $41.92 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 500k and 600k?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.980 | $1.68 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on March 27, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during Memphis Roundtable?Yes | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.989 | $58.17 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Player 58 win Beast Games: Season 2?No | buy | 9.46 | $0.978 | $9.25 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.840 | $6 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?No | buy | 6.74 | $0.890 | $6 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?No | buy | 11.03 | $0.997 | $11 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?Yes | buy | 4.71 | $0.850 | $4 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 4.3 | $0.930 | $4 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will "I Just Might - Bruno Mars" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 26?No | buy | 10.08 | $0.992 | $10 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.997 | $13 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.760 | $8 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.958 | $5 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 15.21 | $0.986 | $15 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $4800 and $4900 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.987 | $7 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Airbnb (ABNB) close at >$145 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?No | buy | 31.8 | $0.999 | $31.77 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $260 end of November?No | buy | 22.43 | $0.981 | $22 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft reach $705 in November?No | buy | 30.21 | $0.993 | $30 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will another movie be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 28)No | buy | 62.26 | $0.998 | $62.14 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Moreirense FC win on 2025-10-27?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.230 | $6.9 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Subhub’s market cap be at least $13B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 65.29 | $0.046 | $3.01 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $12B and $13B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 55.29 | $0.005 | $0.27 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $11B and $12B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 45.29 | $0.035 | $1.6 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $7B and $8B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $8B and $9B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 50 | $0.722 | $36.12 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Was Kanye hacked?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.989 | $6 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 15.05 | $0.930 | $14 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will @Grok resume replying by Friday?No | buy | 30.38 | $0.790 | $24 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will @Grok resume replying by Friday?No | buy | 61.84 | $0.760 | $47 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Trump Family buys stake in Binance before July?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.987 | $8 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?No | buy | 7.12 | $0.983 | $7 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Trump removes income tax on individuals making <$150k?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.962 | $3.9 | Jun 5, 2025 |