Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.080 | $1.63 | -$0.38 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?Yes | sell | 25.64 | $0.561 | $14.38 | Mar 31, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 44.44 |
| $0.045 |
| $1.62 |
| -$0.38 |
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.026 | $0.29 | -$0.71 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.18 | -$0.82 |
 Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.007 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.007 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 73.57 | $0.013 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
| sell |
| 52.63 |
| $0.021 |
| $1.11 |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in March 2026?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 6?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 6?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 6?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 6?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 3?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.62 | $0.097 | $2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.082 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei tweet again by March 3?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?No | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei seen in public by March 2?No | sell | 25.64 | $0.941 | $24.13 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 12.92 | $0.387 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 2?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.771 | $8.56 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.999 | $4.76 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?No | sell | 11.36 | $0.374 | $4.25 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.250 | $2.27 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Nigeria next?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.088 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.118 | $1.4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.094 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's State of the Union?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.096 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance clap between 40–49 times during the State of the Union?Yes | buy | 107.29 | $0.019 | $2 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance clap between 50–59 times during the State of the Union?Yes | buy | 26.06 | $0.038 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance clap between 30–39 times during the State of the Union?Yes | buy | 26.54 | $0.038 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by March 31?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 24?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.035 | $14 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 22)Yes | buy | 16.61 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |