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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 2.34K | $0.242 | $550.74 | -$16.86 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 199.99 | $0.170 | $34 | 3d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 2.33K |
| $0.210 |
| $500.85 |
| +$12.22 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | No | 1.4K | $0.351 | $454.99 | -$36.95 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 6K | $0.180 | $423.03 | -$655.17 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 910.94 | $0.336 | $268.73 | -$37.18 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 1.45K | $0.209 | $239.25 | -$64.48 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | Yes | 668.73 | $0.305 | $190.59 | -$13.19 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 6.61K | $0.042 | $188.35 | -$86.86 |
 Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 114.05K | $0.002 | $171.08 | -$4.9 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 188.81 | $0.804 | $169.93 | +$18.15 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | No | 389.99 | $0.438 | $159.9 | -$11.1 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 500 | $0.267 | $132.5 | -$0.83 |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 461.38 | $0.149 | $99.2 | +$30.23 |
 Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | Yes | 233.75 | $0.341 | $95.84 | +$16.23 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | No | 100 | $0.810 | $86 | +$5 |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.31K | $0.112 | $85.17 | -$61.62 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 599.98 | $0.160 | $81 | -$15 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.146 | $76.8 | -$98.79 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.067 | $75 | +$8.2 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes | 2.52K | $0.020 | $55.55 | +$5.05 |
 Will Rihanna release an album in 2026? | Yes | 284.04 | $0.326 | $55.39 | -$37.26 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 4.49K | $0.012 | $53.88 | +$0.8 |
 Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 97.68K | $0.001 | $48.84 | -$48.84 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | No | 37.76 | $0.500 | $30.4 | +$11.52 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.280 | $30 | +$2 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.150 |
| $30 |
| 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | 3d ago |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.390 | $5.85 | 3d ago |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 88.9 | $0.940 | $83.57 | 3d ago |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 11.1 | $0.950 | $10.55 | 3d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?No | buy | 40.35 | $0.080 | $3.23 | 5d ago |
 Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?No | sell | 70 | $0.842 | $58.94 | 5d ago |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.842 | $16.84 | 5d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?No | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | 5d ago |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 60.2K | $0.001 | $60.2 | 5d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 406.79 | $0.004 | $1.63 | 5d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 197.47 | $0.014 | $2.76 | 6d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.690 | $77.97 | 6d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?No | sell | 790.43 | $0.260 | $205.51 | 6d ago |
 Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 857.05 | $0.005 | $4.29 | 7d ago |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.08K | $0.010 | $10.77 | 7d ago |
| Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 801 | $0.005 | $4.01 | 7d ago |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 774 | $0.010 | $7.74 | 7d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 983.76 | $0.012 | $11.81 | 7d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 679.6 | $0.013 | $8.83 | 7d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 1.19K | $0.001 | $1.19 | 7d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | 7d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 333 | $0.004 | $1.33 | 8d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.003 | $0.9 | 8d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get at least 40 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 430.82 | $0.001 | $0.43 | 8d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?No | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | 10d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get at least 40 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 430.88 | $0.002 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 827.79 | $0.002 | $1.66 | 10d ago |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | sell | 146.55 | $0.530 | $77.67 | 11d ago |
| Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.088 | $3.08 | 12d ago |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 70.1 | $0.220 | $15.42 | 12d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | 13d ago |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.180 | $5.4 | 13d ago |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.180 | $5.4 | 13d ago |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 77.65 | $0.199 | $15.45 | 14d ago |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.201 | $20.1 | 14d ago |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 122.34 | $0.202 | $24.71 | 14d ago |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.166 | $16.6 | 14d ago |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.230 | $241.04 | 17d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 18d ago |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 414.47 | $0.003 | $1.24 | 19d ago |
| Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 5 minutes long?Yes | buy | 20.1 | $0.969 | $19.48 | 20d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.2 | $0.940 | $18.05 | 20d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.940 | $39.48 | 20d ago |
| Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 443.2 | $0.004 | $1.77 | 21d ago |
| Will Rihanna release an album in 2026?Yes | sell | 29.4 | $0.150 | $4.41 | 21d ago |
| Will Rihanna release an album in 2026?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.160 | $5.12 | 21d ago |
| Will Rihanna release an album in 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.160 | $6.4 | 21d ago |
| Will Rihanna release an album in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | 21d ago |