Analytics
IP1380 is down $2.71K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 4.82K | $0.266 | $819.36 | -$463.42 |
| Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 17:27 UTC
Polymarket public position response
41 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 11:54 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 11:54 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 17:27 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $5.79K and losing ones cost $6.12K across the latest 50 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $675.14 on “Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?” (Yes); the largest loss, $595.28 on “Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?” (No).
It has traded 576 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.85K across 41 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 709.81 |
| $0.896 |
| $675.74 |
| +$39.72 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 1.87K | $0.246 | $243.03 | -$217.16 |
 Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | Yes | 233.75 | $0.341 | $210.37 | +$130.76 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 1.05K | $0.182 | $189 | -$2.45 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.840 | $97.75 | +$13.75 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.720 | $81.5 | +$9.5 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 200 | $0.255 | $76 | +$25 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 100 | $0.590 | $62.55 | +$3.55 |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.475 | $51 | -$91.5 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 59.99 | $0.710 | $44.09 | +$1.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 60.01 | $0.700 | $42.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.174 | $38.5 | -$135.54 |
 Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 400.01 | $0.082 | $28 | -$5 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 100 | $0.330 | $26.5 | -$6.5 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 318.97 | $0.115 | $25.84 | -$10.94 |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? | Yes | 207.14 | $0.109 | $17.61 | -$5.04 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | No | 60 | $0.351 | $17.34 | -$3.72 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.520 | $13.75 | -$12.25 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 50 | $0.240 | $13 | +$1 |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 5K | $0.003 | $12.5 | -$4.83 |
 Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 40 | $0.520 | $10.2 | -$10.6 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes | 2.92K | $0.013 | $7.31 | -$31.97 |
 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | Yes | 100 | $0.270 | $5.5 | -$21.5 |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | Yes | 3.59K | $0.007 | $5.39 | -$19.89 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
