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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 582.67 | $0.008 | $4.95 | +$0.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 17?Yes | buy | 222.63 | $0.010 | $2.33 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 88.89 |
| $0.090 |
| $2.04 |
| -$5.96 |
 Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 4.08K | $0.012 | $2.04 | -$47.96 |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.008 | $1.25 | -$18.75 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 2.31K | $0.009 | $1.16 | -$18.84 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 321.43 | $0.028 | $0.48 | -$8.52 |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 600 | $0.005 | $0.3 | -$2.7 |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 497.52 | $0.005 | $0.25 | -$2.25 |
| buy |
| 1.25K |
| $0.004 |
| $5 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
 President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?No | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 582.67 | $0.008 | $4.94 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.82K | $0.011 | $20 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 540.54 | $0.037 | $20 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.004 | $20 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETUp | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.054 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.013 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETDown | buy | 66.67 | $0.030 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.013 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | buy | 600.47 | $0.012 | $7.29 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.009 | $20 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.67K | $0.003 | $20 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.69K | $0.008 | $100 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 159.09 | $0.022 | $3.5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.009 | $4 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 491.02 | $0.006 | $2.95 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | buy | 381.47 | $0.010 | $3.86 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | buy | 717.14 | $0.007 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.017 | $20 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 203.2 | $0.049 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 428.57 | $0.007 | $3 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 869.57 | $0.023 | $20 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Apr 14, 2026 |