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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.057 | $236.86 | +$176.97 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on March 17?No | buy | 246.16 | $0.009 | $2.31 | Mar 17, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 2.67K |
| $0.213 |
| $17.34 |
| -$550.51 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? | Yes | 454.77 | $0.088 | $16.37 | -$23.56 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | Yes | 249.56 | $0.160 | $16.22 | -$23.71 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | Yes | 266.2 | $0.150 | $12.64 | -$27.29 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | Yes | 96.88 | $0.412 | $9.45 | -$30.48 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | Yes | 99.37 | $0.402 | $6.36 | -$33.57 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 41.09 | $0.063 | $1.25 | -$1.35 |
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 636.67 | $0.006 | $0.32 | -$3.5 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 550 | $0.012 | $0.28 | -$6.33 |
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 542.86 | $0.007 | $0.27 | -$3.53 |
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 236.25 | $0.008 | $0.12 | -$1.77 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 145.71 | $0.021 | $0.07 | -$2.99 |
| buy |
| 6.29 |
| $0.580 |
| $3.65 |
| Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 18?No | buy | 5.65 | $0.680 | $3.84 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on March 21?No | buy | 5.86 | $0.690 | $4.04 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 18?No | buy | 6.54 | $0.650 | $4.25 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 18?No | buy | 7.11 | $0.630 | $4.48 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 18?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.650 | $4.71 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 17?No | buy | 7.7 | $0.644 | $4.96 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on March 17?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 17?No | buy | 11.1 | $0.451 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 18?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C or below on March 21?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on March 21?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 21?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C or below on March 21?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 41°F or below on March 21?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 21?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on March 21?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C or below on March 21?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 21?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on March 21?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 79°F or below on March 21?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on March 21?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C or below on March 21?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C or higher on March 21?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or below on March 21?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 21?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 17?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or below on March 20?No | buy | 62.57 | $0.035 | $2.19 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 17?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 17?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 17?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 18?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on March 17?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on March 17?No | buy | 40.89 | $0.592 | $24.22 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 19?No | buy | 20.79 | $0.516 | $10.72 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on March 17?No | buy | 40.7 | $0.595 | $24.22 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 17?No | buy | 40.57 | $0.597 | $24.22 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on March 18?No | buy | 38.44 | $0.630 | $24.22 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 17?No | buy | 45.44 | $0.533 | $24.22 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 17?No | buy | 50.46 | $0.480 | $24.22 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on March 19?No | buy | 39.25 | $0.617 | $24.22 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 19?No | buy | 34.82 | $0.696 | $24.22 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 17?No | buy | 381.83 | $0.063 | $24.22 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 17?No | buy | 116.38 | $0.208 | $24.22 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETDown | buy | 102.05 | $0.580 | $59.19 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or higher on March 15?Yes | buy | 87.74 | $0.087 | $7.66 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 16?Yes | buy | 50.97 | $0.133 | $6.79 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 15?Yes | buy | 59.89 | $0.115 | $6.91 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 16?Yes | buy | 87.31 | $0.078 | $6.81 | Mar 15, 2026 |