NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?

politicsResolved

No, settled Sep 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.1M

Resolved

Settled

Sep 1, 2026 UTC

Topic roomNATO / Russia Russia–Ukraine

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
betwick	Yes	84.44K	31.7%	$26.77K
mirroredtrade-RocWins	Yes	66.92K	4.2%	$2.78K
pretzel	Yes	52.43K	8.1%	$4.27K
disputequant	Yes	47.15K	34.1%	$16.06K
CW1975	Yes	42.05K	1.2%	$511.23	Sep 1, 8:12 AM UTC
Neon Horizon 946D	Yes	15.29K	30.3%	$4.64K
coali10	Yes	11.11K	33.0%	$3.67K
Till1986	Yes	10.24K	2.9%	$299.99
Humble-Monk	Yes	6.85K	34.3%	$2.35K
Ban4ik	Yes	5.07K	2.1%	$108.06	Aug 28, 2:44 PM UTC
thx4playing	Yes	4.16K	34.3%	$1.43K
troim	Yes	4K	5.8%	$232
LiquidatedDegen	Yes	3.69K	1.7%	$62.7	Aug 28, 3:01 PM UTC
crypto-basenji	Yes	3.57K	8.5%	$303.19
Fearless-Misnomer	Yes	3.51K	8.1%	$286.04	Aug 29, 9:07 PM UTC
ELTESTICULON	Yes	3.22K	31.0%	$999.25
ArthurGreen	Yes	3.05K	1.1%	$33.36
dubing	Yes	3K	0.1%	$3
Newshound	Yes	2.67K	21.6%	$577.72
Euan	Yes	2.3K	35.2%	$808.93
GodRama	Yes	2.29K	32.6%	$746.28
siick	Yes	2.27K	31.3%	$710.97
NewBTandMetMask	Yes	2.25K	2.0%	$45
cashy	Yes	2.15K	6.6%	$140.95
PhilIvey9	Yes	2.14K	32.5%	$695.55
rigatohni	Yes	2.13K	33.8%	$718.98
cmarx	Yes	1.97K	38.8%	$763.56
DREAMBIG.	Yes	1.96K	32.1%	$630.07
ZaGambla	Yes	1.52K	31.2%	$472.68
NEXUS999	Yes	1.4K	57.2%	$800
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	1.36K	2.8%	$38.65	Aug 31, 8:46 PM UTC
Alexx4525	Yes	1.11K	1.7%	$18.85	Sep 1, 1:08 AM UTC
justF	Yes	1.1K	2.8%	$30.8
collectorr	Yes	1.06K	0.0%	$0
TheGreekTraderPMVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile	Yes	1.06K	32.0%	$338.94
Rndntz	Yes	1K	4.1%	$41
Rapid Quasar 51BA	Yes	932.97	0.3%	$2.8	Sep 1, 3:17 AM UTC
meagainsttheworld	Yes	862.9	8.0%	$69
Perico73	Yes	786.07	2.5%	$20.07
Solar Pulse 0FCD	Yes	726.59	8.9%	$65
redsandstone	Yes	709.2	1.4%	$10	Aug 28, 1:31 PM UTC
MispricedPaladin	Yes	623.83	30.2%	$188.57
rewrewrewrwe	Yes	600	32.1%	$192.9
watchmenene	Yes	504.17	39.7%	$200
CommanderData	Yes	500	32.2%	$161
KNOI	Yes	500	1.3%	$6.5	Aug 28, 7:09 AM UTC
Daddycash	Yes	500	31.0%	$155
notserik256	Yes	448.17	4.9%	$21.96
AndreyDV	Yes	446.65	4.5%	$20
Helpless-Vanity-Batting	Yes	442.32	4.5%	$20
ZeroSigma	Yes	409.98	7.0%	$28.81
zzzfff	Yes	400	1.5%	$6
AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee	Yes	399.81	39.9%	$159.57
Osetinskaya	Yes	393.11	13.0%	$51.1
Aleksandr-DYOR	Yes	385.29	2.8%	$10.8
rstk	Yes	364.32	4.7%	$17
UntitledUser1	Yes	325.24	22.3%	$72.63
IceWindL	Yes	322.5	7.6%	$24.51
Sergiis	Yes	281.41	35.5%	$99.8
Chrome	Yes	249.99	37.7%	$94.15
gostzo123	Yes	249.73	34.6%	$86.33
Medical-Hospitalization	Yes	232.42	2.1%	$5	Aug 28, 4:25 AM UTC
Misty Pulse 6150	Yes	232.27	9.7%	$22.33
Jade Summit B444	Yes	230.75	6.8%	$15.68
Zoon	Yes	225.81	3.1%	$7
Andrii9999	No	218.98	65.8%	$144
239048	Yes	215.62	33.4%	$71.98
Neon Harbor 7F56	Yes	213.73	43.5%	$93.09
zdolak	Yes	208.59	4.8%	$10
Courageous-Papa	Yes	204.08	4.9%	$10
Misty Vector 314B	Yes	201.4	1.4%	$2.82	Aug 28, 7:25 AM UTC
UncleFill	Yes	200	6.1%	$12.3
marinexx777	Yes	200	2.0%	$4	Aug 29, 3:44 AM UTC
efficiencysurround	Yes	200	38.1%	$76.14
Torin81	Yes	200	2.7%	$5.4
zzmfreeman-phan	Yes	181.8	2.8%	$5.09
asdasdasdsagdhjsa	Yes	178.92	3.7%	$6.62
Heirophant.13	Yes	166.67	0.9%	$1.5	Aug 30, 7:17 AM UTC
stavr	Yes	162.59	7.4%	$12
LuckyPunch99	Yes	159.29	13.0%	$20.71
qcp3	Yes	152.54	7.3%	$11.14
defdefdef	No	150	94.0%	$141
Deterrance	Yes	141.27	35.4%	$50
Annual-Selection-Baboon	Yes	135.37	5.2%	$7
rizaSZN	Yes	112	33.5%	$37.49
QbertRules	Yes	111.89	33.6%	$37.6
Coral Raven E94B	Yes	109	36.3%	$39.61
Helldiver015	Yes	107.35	3.4%	$3.65
Gavelsv	Yes	104.24	31.7%	$33.04
Rdl	Yes	101.84	0.2%	$0.24
tghrhgg	Yes	100	2.5%	$2.5
garbagefriends	Yes	100	8.2%	$8.25
Vitaaalya	Yes	100	44.2%	$44.2
goaks18	Yes	99.81	9.6%	$9.57
Azure Pioneer 0F61	Yes	98.08	6.8%	$6.7
imstupid	Yes	90.32	34.3%	$30.98
Gdjsbdj	Yes	86.6	43.0%	$37.24
tBeotM	Yes	86.47	36.1%	$31.22
Average-Release	Yes	80	1.0%	$0.8
Amber Scout C64F	Yes	78.48	40.0%	$31.39
frmn	No	75.14	66.5%	$50
qcp14	Yes	75.13	32.2%	$24.23
Belfart	Yes	74.42	53.8%	$40
TonyPnL	Yes	74.07	2.7%	$2
Sergiy31	Yes	71.43	2.8%	$2
Citizenkane	Yes	69.18	36.1%	$25
sanduspace	Yes	65.99	0.2%	$0.13
hazelfox	Yes	65.04	5.8%	$3.75
Royal Orbit E104	Yes	61.51	35.8%	$22.02
HIKJFHFDLHGH	Yes	60	2.8%	$1.68
Yolandach	Yes	55.3	34.6%	$19.13
Gummy-Brisket	Yes	51	4.8%	$2.45
JHTDHHHTHHYLHJ	Yes	50	3.2%	$1.6
iceymadeit	Yes	49.41	4.0%	$2
ksms999	Yes	45	8.5%	$3.83
Unused-Working	Yes	43.19	2.3%	$1	Aug 28, 4:50 AM UTC
ughow	Yes	41.93	47.7%	$20
Bold Beacon FC20	Yes	41.89	4.9%	$2
Indigo Quasar 5B72	Yes	40.6	5.0%	$2
zhukov26	Yes	40.01	2.5%	$1
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	40.01	27.1%	$10.84
Ill-Ultimatum	Yes	40	39.5%	$15.8
Aggravating-Ziggurat	Yes	40	3.3%	$1.32
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed	Yes	39.06	1.0%	$0.38	Aug 31, 7:22 PM UTC
etghzcer	Yes	37.74	23.0%	$8.68
Quiet Falcon 43EF	Yes	37.67	13.4%	$5.04
pixelLarry	Yes	31.25	3.2%	$1
profit4real	Yes	30.72	34.3%	$10.54
Crimson Horizon 466A	Yes	30	6.6%	$1.98
komaa	Yes	29.99	3.7%	$1.11
Solar Orbit 90F6	Yes	29.4	34.1%	$10
Empty-Lily	No	29.28	68.3%	$20
Lunar Pulse E799	Yes	28.15	25.9%	$7.28
Nepton	No	27.29	98.9%	$27	Aug 30, 8:52 PM UTC
tjmkujk	Yes	27.25	4.0%	$1.09
Yummy-Conscience	Yes	26.81	37.3%	$10
DeepSeek1000X	Yes	26.32	3.8%	$1
Dixie.Rect	Yes	25.85	5.4%	$1.39
Lovely-Piety-Starboard	Yes	25.25	4.0%	$1
Black-And-White-Success	Yes	24.02	44.5%	$10.69
jsilverhand	Yes	23.6	4.2%	$1
sleNti	Yes	22.87	43.7%	$10
Maxbrown6505	Yes	22.73	4.4%	$1
oxyqste	Yes	21.58	27.8%	$6
zakkSMZ	Yes	21.52	4.7%	$1.01
pupsikxui	No	21.03	95.1%	$20
Immense-Collateral-Snuggle	Yes	20.96	47.7%	$10
Leonidas11	Yes	20	1.0%	$0.2
i2izzzs	No	19.24	89.6%	$17.25
Oddball-Endive	Yes	17.66	22.9%	$4.04
Fedor08	No	15.14	66.0%	$10
hogho	Yes	15.03	9.1%	$1.37
Coral Lynx 4A26	Yes	14.16	40.0%	$5.66
Petty.Bourgeoise	Yes	12.42	8.0%	$1
ffaff	No	11.87	67.4%	$8
nUxX	Yes	11.36	8.8%	$1
Mojito9	Yes	10.3	6.0%	$0.62
ebashim.	Yes	10	6.3%	$0.63
Keen Beacon E554	No	9.1	98.7%	$8.98	Aug 30, 1:27 PM UTC
Silver Quasar FA1F	Yes	8.88	16.9%	$1.5
asfdt11	Yes	8	1.6%	$0.13
Albi12318	Yes	7	0.1%	$0.01
Elenai	Yes	5	70.0%	$3.5
5-testfollower-car	Yes	5	7.6%	$0.38
WMNB	Yes	5	35.1%	$1.76
Wordy-Doctrine	Yes	5	8.9%	$0.45
Violet Oracle 4850	Yes	4.98	40.0%	$1.99
Violet Maven 7044	Yes	4.95	40.0%	$1.98
Unfortunate-Price	Yes	4.94	35.6%	$1.75
cd30gfu530p0	Yes	4.59	35.5%	$1.61
d78zdjt83wms	Yes	4.17	43.3%	$1.79
Cosmic Pioneer 8942	Yes	4.11	39.9%	$1.64
nelemeta	Yes	4.09	36.7%	$1.5
Emerald Meteor 8D4E	Yes	3.68	40.0%	$1.47
Azure Maven 0464	Yes	3.23	40.0%	$1.29
Indigo Scout A04A	Yes	2.95	40.0%	$1.18
adamant368	Yes	2.82	35.4%	$1
PolyEGG	Yes	1.55	8.0%	$0.12
Vossei	No	1.37	99.3%	$1.36	Aug 30, 4:18 AM UTC
Simplistic-Breastplate	No	1.07	93.6%	$1
Vitaminkx	No	1.04	96.2%	$1
zxcursed121	Yes	1.01	31.4%	$0.32
pmlp	Yes	1	32.5%	$0.33
Ulises666	Yes	0.99	5.8%	$0.06
DontBeScared5	Yes	0.89	37.3%	$0.33
Daria.Zuskhov	Yes	0.74	21.3%	$0.16
Jade Scout 6162	No	0.32	92.3%	$0.3
79fsdfs	Yes	0.23	30.1%	$0.07
VenomTrade	Yes	0.1	33.2%	$0.03

189 of 189 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Andrii9999	$218.98
defdefdef	$150
frmn	$75.14

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