Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 30.33 | $0.480 | $23.2 | +$8.64 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 48 | $0.310 | $14.88 | 2h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 41 |
| $0.360 |
| $19.89 |
| +$5.13 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 20.55 | $0.730 | $18.6 | +$3.6 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 19.22 | $0.765 | $18.56 | +$3.86 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 26 | $0.519 | $17.29 | +$3.81 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.12 | $0.804 | $17.14 | +$2.56 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 20.27 | $0.740 | $17.13 | +$2.13 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 17.4 | $0.850 | $17 | +$2.21 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 18.23 | $0.780 | $16.5 | +$2.28 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | No | 17.4 | $0.840 | $16.45 | +$1.83 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 22.33 | $0.660 | $16.3 | +$1.56 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 17.49 | $0.854 | $16.01 | +$1.07 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 20.28 | $0.710 | $15.72 | +$1.32 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 31.24 | $0.460 | $15.7 | +$1.33 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 16.35 | $0.910 | $15.45 | +$0.57 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.3 | $0.855 | $15.4 | +$0.61 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | No | 15.32 | $0.950 | $15.21 | +$0.66 |
 Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | Yes | 15.31 | $0.970 | $15.2 | +$0.35 |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | No | 15 | $0.990 | $14.94 | +$0.09 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | No | 15.29 | $0.963 | $14.84 | +$0.11 |
| Kash Patel out by September 30? | No | 15.16 | $0.950 | $14.78 | +$0.38 |
 Obama divorce before 2027? | No | 15.28 | $0.970 | $14.75 | -$0.07 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | No | 24.36 | $0.601 | $14.74 | +$0.1 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat? | Yes | 15.31 | $0.976 | $14.66 | -$0.28 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 15.31 | $0.954 | $14.63 | +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 8.1 |
| $0.840 |
| $6.8 |
| 3h ago |
 Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Yes | buy | 9.23 | $0.790 | $7.29 | 3h ago |
 Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.239 | $7.41 | 4h ago |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.240 | $7.5 | 4h ago |
 Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?Yes | buy | 25.3 | $0.249 | $6.3 | 7h ago |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 13 | $0.680 | $8.84 | 8h ago |
 Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 15.16 | $0.960 | $14.55 | 9h ago |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 16.17 | $0.920 | $14.88 | 9h ago |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.33 | $0.660 | $14.74 | 9h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.16 | $0.930 | $14.1 | 9h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 18.22 | $0.810 | $14.76 | 9h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | 19h ago |
 Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.250 | $7.5 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.454 | $9.08 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.660 | $11.22 | 1d ago |
 Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.580 | $6.96 | 1d ago |
| Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.590 | $7.2 | 1d ago |
 Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,153,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.350 | $7.35 | 1d ago |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.264 | $5.54 | 1d ago |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?Yes | buy | 20.75 | $0.267 | $5.54 | 1d ago |
 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.480 | $7.2 | 1d ago |
 Will Tony Mulder win the next Clarence mayoral election?No | sell | 5 | $0.923 | $4.62 | 1d ago |
 Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.190 | $7.41 | 1d ago |
 Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.950 | $7.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.850 | $6.8 | 1d ago |
 Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?No | sell | 10 | $0.649 | $6.49 | 2d ago |
| Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.190 | $2.66 | 2d ago |
 Will Dillon Roberts win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.230 | $7.36 | 2d ago |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.266 | $5.59 | 2d ago |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?Yes | buy | 20.9 | $0.267 | $5.58 | 2d ago |
 Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?No | buy | 11.17 | $0.650 | $7.26 | 2d ago |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.266 | $5.32 | 2d ago |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?Yes | buy | 20.9 | $0.267 | $5.58 | 2d ago |
 Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.480 | $7.68 | 2d ago |
| Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?Yes | buy | 15.31 | $0.490 | $7.5 | 2d ago |
| Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.480 | $7.2 | 2d ago |
| Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?Yes | buy | 15.31 | $0.490 | $7.5 | 2d ago |
| Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.480 | $7.2 | 2d ago |
| Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?Yes | buy | 15.31 | $0.490 | $7.5 | 2d ago |
 Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | 2d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.610 | $6.93 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.870 | $6.96 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 9.12 | $0.760 | $6.93 | 2d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 296 | $0.050 | $14.7 | 2d ago |
| Will Tony Mulder win the next Clarence mayoral election?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.866 | $4.43 | 2d ago |
 Will Jacqueline Belleau win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?No | sell | 8 | $0.890 | $7.12 | 2d ago |
| Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.517 | $5.17 | 2d ago |
 Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 59 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?Yes | buy | 10.03 | $0.974 | $9.77 | 2d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?Yes | buy | 20.58 | $0.688 | $14.16 | 2d ago |