Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?

politicsResolved

No, settled Oct 16, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$454.5K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 16, 2026 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 16 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 58% on 3 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2026 to 16 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 74% on 6 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 0.9% on 13 Oct 2026. $454.54K traded over the market's life.

82 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 16, 9:13 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 3 Oct 2026 – 16 Oct 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
aenews2	Yes	16.81K
Whole-Challenge	Yes	16.36K
rigatohni	Yes	10.86K
pleasehelpme	Yes	6K

10 of 82 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf