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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.52K | $0.846 | $1.3K | +$14.1 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.28 | $0.040 | $0.01 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.11K |
| $0.940 |
| $1.04K |
| -$5.57 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 876.02 | $0.974 | $858.94 | +$5.91 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 1.65K | $0.653 | $354.47 | -$722.59 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | 349.11 | $0.976 | $341.95 | +$1.39 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 303.04 | $0.981 | $298.65 | +$1.36 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 300.67 | $0.945 | $283.23 | -$0.9 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 276.05 | $0.920 | $258.11 | +$4.14 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 221.09 | $0.896 | $210.48 | +$12.27 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 221.04 | $0.589 | $209.99 | +$79.9 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 239.68 | $0.880 | $209.72 | -$1.2 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 968.33 | $0.299 | $198.51 | -$90.85 |
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 194.44 | $0.980 | $189.68 | -$0.9 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 210.99 | $0.790 | $176.18 | +$9.42 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 171.53 | $0.683 | $163.13 | +$45.9 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31? | No | 147.26 | $0.904 | $127.38 | -$5.73 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 137.62 | $0.895 | $124.55 | +$1.31 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 333.3 | $0.362 | $117.15 | -$3.5 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | No | 118.42 | $0.915 | $115.76 | +$7.43 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 103.11 | $0.968 | $99.97 | +$0.2 |
 Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 100 | $0.936 | $94.5 | +$0.9 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 100.39 | $0.910 | $90.35 | -$1 |
 Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.935 | $88.05 | -$5.45 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 90.5 | $0.920 | $85.52 | +$2.26 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 78.25 | $0.958 | $77.98 | +$3.01 |
| sell |
| 0.12 |
| $0.720 |
| $0.09 |
| 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.720 | $0.03 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.720 | $0.06 | 3h ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.21 | $0.240 | $2.21 | 3h ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.28 | $0.240 | $2.23 | 3h ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.82 | $0.140 | $0.11 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.28 | $0.710 | $0.2 | 4h ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.860 | $5.31 | 5h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 5.85 | $0.140 | $0.82 | 5h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.82 | $0.140 | $0.11 | 5h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.21 | $0.500 | $0.11 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.79 | $0.500 | $0.4 | 6h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 22.36 | $0.140 | $3.13 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.500 | $0.08 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.500 | $0.08 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.81 | $0.490 | $0.4 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.94 | $0.500 | $0.47 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.57 | $0.490 | $0.77 | 7h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | 16h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.73 | $0.140 | $0.1 | 16h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.130 | $0.27 | 16h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 37.8 | $0.130 | $4.91 | 16h ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.38 | $0.040 | $0.14 | 17h ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%?No | buy | 20.23 | $0.720 | $14.57 | 19h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%?No | buy | 20.23 | $0.720 | $14.57 | 19h ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.83 | $0.130 | $0.24 | 20h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | 20h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.740 | $5.92 | 23h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 9.16 | $0.080 | $0.73 | 23h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.760 | $9.12 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.130 | $0 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.16 | $0.130 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 44.12 | $0.070 | $3.09 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.130 | $0 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.130 | $0 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.64 | $0.130 | $0.6 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.6 | $0.130 | $0.86 | 1d ago |
 Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.865 | $17.3 | 1d ago |
| Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 9.15 | $0.770 | $7.05 | 1d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.26 | $0.040 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 9.76 | $0.770 | $7.52 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 506.98 | $0.018 | $9.23 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | 1d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.040 | $0.05 | 1d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.89 | $0.040 | $0.08 | 1d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.040 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | sell | 252.75 | $0.100 | $25.28 | 1d ago |