Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 106.36 | $0.501 | $80.56 | +$27.22 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 4.66 | $0.870 | $4.05 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 89.65 |
| $0.850 |
| $75.75 |
| -$0.44 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 30.8 | $0.938 | $28.8 | -$0.1 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 106.37 | $0.439 | $25.79 | -$20.93 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.98 | $0.962 | $16.62 | +$0.29 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 16.15 | $0.950 | $15.42 | +$0.08 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 14.99 | $0.981 | $14.77 | +$0.06 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 15.17 | $0.925 | $14.19 | +$0.15 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 15.44 | $0.890 | $13.82 | +$0.08 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 14.42 | $0.953 | $13.73 | -$0.01 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 15.8 | $0.880 | $13.51 | -$0.39 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 17.88 | $0.593 | $10.64 | +$0.03 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 10.8 | $0.962 | $10.38 | -$0.01 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 10.75 | $0.950 | $10.16 | -$0.05 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.971 | $9.7 | -$0.02 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 9.99 | $0.964 | $9.68 | +$0.04 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.935 | $9.38 | +$0.03 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 9.73 | $0.910 | $8.9 | +$0.05 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 10 | $0.880 | $8.65 | -$0.15 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 10 | $0.880 | $8.55 | -$0.25 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 10.44 | $0.650 | $6.89 | +$0.1 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 6.5 | $0.972 | $6.38 | +$0.06 |
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 6 | $0.982 | $5.86 | -$0.03 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 6 | $0.968 | $5.82 | +$0.01 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 5 | $0.953 | $4.95 | +$0.19 |
| sell |
| 2.76 |
| $0.985 |
| $2.72 |
| 3h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 4.97 | $0.990 | $4.92 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5.69 | $0.620 | $3.53 | 9h ago |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.53 | $0.060 | $0.27 | 9h ago |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.979 | $1.25 | 9h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 4.98 | $0.990 | $4.93 | 11h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 2.77 | $0.032 | $0.09 | 12h ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 20%-25%?No | buy | 4.95 | $0.790 | $3.91 | 13h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 7.61 | $0.430 | $3.27 | 15h ago |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.82 | $0.040 | $0.03 | 16h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.970 | $4.84 | 18h ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.975 | $0.01 | 19h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 4.76 | $0.975 | $4.64 | 19h ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.900 | $3.1 | 19h ago |
 Will Elon Musk post about $LAPTOP by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | 22h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 4.84 | $0.850 | $4.11 | 22h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | 23h ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.243 | $1.21 | 23h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 4.91 | $0.890 | $4.37 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.19 | $0.120 | $0.26 | 1d ago |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.893 | $4.46 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | 1d ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?No | sell | 0.94 | $0.330 | $0.31 | 1d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | 1d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.890 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | 1d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.890 | $1.83 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 6.44 | $0.340 | $2.19 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 8.74 | $0.330 | $2.88 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 3.29 | $0.640 | $2.11 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 0.62 | $0.860 | $0.53 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 4.91 | $0.270 | $1.33 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | sell | 4.97 | $0.130 | $0.65 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | sell | 4.84 | $0.470 | $2.27 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 4.66 | $0.710 | $3.31 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | 1d ago |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.97 | $0.903 | $4.49 | 1d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 0%-3%?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.920 | $4.59 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | 1d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%?No | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 30%-35%?No | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | 1d ago |
| Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | 2d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | 2d ago |