Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 18.7K | $0.805 | $16.36K | +$1.3K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 15.14K | $0.989 | $14.97K | 13d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 20.26K |
| $0.962 |
| $4.35K |
| -$15.13K |
| sell |
| 8K |
| $0.917 |
| $7.34K |
| 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.24K | $0.918 | $7.56K | 19d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 668.07 | $0.940 | $627.99 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 19.59K | $0.963 | $18.85K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.67K | $0.922 | $9.84K | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.18K | $0.798 | $10.52K | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 24?No | buy | 4.06K | $0.985 | $4K | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 24?No | buy | 25.38K | $0.985 | $24.99K | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 2.57K | $0.964 | $2.48K | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 18.7K | $0.805 | $15.06K | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 15.8K | $0.960 | $15.17K | May 13, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.2K | $0.971 | $5.05K | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 1.18K | $0.563 | $663.64 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 1.59K | $0.565 | $895.88 | May 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 359 | $0.260 | $93.34 | May 1, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | sell | 1.02K | $0.999 | $1.02K | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 525.99 | $0.910 | $478.65 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | sell | 1.04K | $0.960 | $1K | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | sell | 23.9K | $0.026 | $621.4 | May 1, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 2.1K | $0.999 | $2.1K | May 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 961.05 | $0.240 | $230.65 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 558.25 | $0.570 | $318.2 | May 1, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.67K | $0.680 | $1.81K | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | sell | 32.21K | $0.003 | $96.62 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.63K | $0.590 | $1.55K | May 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.67K | $0.800 | $1.33K | May 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.33K | $0.190 | $633.36 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 131.74 | $0.570 | $75.09 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 4.91K | $0.920 | $4.52K | May 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.09K | $0.997 | $4.08K | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 25.53K | $0.320 | $8.17K | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.1K | $0.320 | $992.2 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.13K | $0.320 | $1K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.13K | $0.319 | $1K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.23K | $0.310 | $1K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.23K | $0.310 | $1K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.23K | $0.310 | $1K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.23K | $0.310 | $1K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.27K | $0.306 | $1K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.982 | $1K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 1.74K | $0.576 | $1K | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.966 | $1K | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.45K | $0.065 | $1K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.600 | $1K | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.965 | $1K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.965 | $1K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 21.63K | $0.046 | $1K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.74K | $0.365 | $1K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.962 | $1K | Apr 24, 2026 |