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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 2.3K | $0.378 | $333.5 | -$536.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 200 |
| $0.130 |
| $161 |
| +$135 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.043 | $84.3 | +$75.7 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.210 | $41 | +$20 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.060 | $5.5 | -$0.5 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | Yes | 300 | $0.020 | $3.75 | -$2.25 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.025 | $2.5 | -$2.5 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.020 |
| $4 |
| 9d ago |
 Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?No | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | 10d ago |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | 12d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.34 | $0.038 | $1.38 | 21d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.180 | $36 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.003 | $1.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?No | buy | 22.16 | $0.057 | $1.26 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 38.36 | $0.218 | $8.35 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.079 | $2.37 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 165.59 | $0.010 | $1.66 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.660 | $132 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.048 | $1.44 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 410.19 | $0.007 | $2.87 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 100 | $0.055 | $5.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.019 | $3.99 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-18?No | sell | 100 | $0.044 | $4.4 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-18?No | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?No | sell | 100 | $0.225 | $22.49 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.330 | $25.41 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 27.14 | $0.440 | $11.94 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 16.73 | $0.300 | $5.02 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.030 | $15 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.999 | $99.89 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.029 | $0.87 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.250 | $18.25 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.910 | $273 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.058 | $11.6 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 97.37 | $0.080 | $7.79 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.079 | $0.43 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.070 | $1.33 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.025 | $2.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.002 | $3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 16.96 | $0.076 | $1.29 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.273 | $27.3 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.27 | $0.129 | $3.78 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.011 | $5.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.029 | $11.6 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes | buy | 85.09 | $0.174 | $14.79 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |