Analytics
ArthurGreen is down $9.84K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-12 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.12K | $0.344 | $817.5 | +$86.85 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | $0 | $0 | 84 | 1 | 0.0% | $0 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-12 16:07 UTC
Polymarket public position response
37 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 08:14 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 08:14 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-12 16:07 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $16.59K and losing ones cost $5.67K across the latest 50 settled positions. 76% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.78K on “Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.04K on “Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?” (Yes).
It has traded 957 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.01K across 37 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 690 |
| $0.850 |
| $679.31 |
| +$92.81 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | No | 1.76K | $0.260 | $492.52 | +$35.81 |
 Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 1.38K | $0.343 | $345.25 | -$129.11 |
 US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | No | 1.57K | $0.302 | $283.47 | -$192.56 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? | Yes | 600 | $0.450 | $273 | +$3 |
| Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place? | No | 514.31 | $0.538 | $228.87 | -$47.89 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.09K | $0.260 | $201.65 | -$81.75 |
| Plague case in US by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.870 | $185 | +$11 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31? | No | 137.5 | $0.704 | $126.5 | +$29.75 |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | Yes | 3.44K | $0.054 | $96.22 | -$88.11 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | Yes | 493.05 | $0.180 | $88.75 | +$0.04 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 355 | $0.157 | $40.83 | -$15.07 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.025 | $24.27 | -$1.62 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.33K | $0.024 | $23.94 | -$8.34 |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 99.15 | $0.270 | $23.3 | -$3.47 |
 Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026? | No | 69 | $0.500 | $21.39 | -$13.11 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.86 | $0.703 | $9.32 | +$2.39 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | Yes | 510 | $0.090 | $7.4 | -$38.51 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | Yes | 20.31 | $0.350 | $6.5 | -$0.61 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 5.99 | $0.728 | $5.4 | +$1.04 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.890 | $4.83 | +$0.38 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 5.35 | $0.730 | $4.79 | +$0.88 |
 Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | Yes | 261.31 | $0.080 | $4.7 | -$16.2 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 720 | $0.146 | $3.24 | -$101.76 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
