Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 963 | $0.707 | $746.33 | +$65.86 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.550 | $38.5 | 1h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.02K |
| $0.224 |
| $392.66 |
| -$60.81 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.06K | $0.088 | $175.11 | -$6.27 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 525.76 | $0.249 | $126.18 | -$4.65 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 130.01 | $0.300 | $78.65 | +$39.65 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.137 | $34.65 | -$116.35 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.33K | $0.024 | $20.62 | -$11.66 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 94.21 | $0.290 | $19.31 | -$8.01 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 7.75K | $0.004 | $11.63 | -$17.06 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | No | 10.57 | $0.336 | $10.22 | +$6.67 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.86 | $0.703 | $9.22 | +$2.29 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.19K | $0.014 | $8.92 | -$7.4 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 204.67 | $0.093 | $6.75 | -$12.37 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 5.99 | $0.728 | $5.24 | +$0.88 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 5.35 | $0.730 | $4.79 | +$0.88 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.890 | $4.73 | +$0.28 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 2.01K | $0.004 | $3.02 | -$5.03 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 5 | $0.668 | $2.49 | -$0.85 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.38K | $0.006 | $1.69 | -$20.42 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.004 | $1.5 | -$10.5 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 5.62 | $0.344 | $0.85 | -$1.08 |
 Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.74 | -$0.26 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 5.4 | $0.210 | $0.73 | -$0.41 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 5.87 | $0.280 | $0.47 | -$1.17 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 4 | $0.280 | $0.46 | -$0.66 |
| sell |
| 600 |
| $0.022 |
| $13.25 |
| 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.300 | $120 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 723.99 | $0.224 | $162.38 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.370 | $111 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.400 | $80 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 176 | $0.490 | $86.24 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | 4h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 569.7 | $0.330 | $188 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 126.45 | $0.480 | $60.7 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | 16h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.490 | $196 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 87 | $0.630 | $54.81 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 86.55 | $0.640 | $55.39 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 56.47 | $0.610 | $34.45 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 56.47 | $0.590 | $33.32 | 2d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 131.95 | $0.271 | $35.7 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.280 | $28 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 176 | $0.283 | $49.73 | 2d ago |
 Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?Yes | sell | 200.25 | $0.480 | $96.12 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.360 | $180 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.041 | $24.36 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 58.96 | $0.318 | $18.77 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.335 | $13.4 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 173.34 | $0.300 | $52.05 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 212 | $0.450 | $95.4 | 3d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 127.66 | $0.248 | $31.64 | 3d ago |
 Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.130 | $65.1 | 3d ago |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.280 | $139.9 | 3d ago |
| Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 260 | $0.320 | $83.2 | 3d ago |
| Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 206.11 | $0.103 | $21.26 | 3d ago |
| Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.260 | $52 | 3d ago |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.068 | $60.91 | 3d ago |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.449 | $583.75 | 3d ago |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.310 | $62 | 3d ago |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.320 | $4.8 | 3d ago |
| Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.320 | $19.2 | 3d ago |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.280 | $84 | 3d ago |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.324 | $162 | 3d ago |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?Yes | buy | 56.88 | $0.446 | $25.38 | 3d ago |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?Yes | buy | 133.37 | $0.374 | $49.85 | 3d ago |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.047 | $18.8 | 3d ago |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 145.62 | $0.042 | $6.1 | 3d ago |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.047 | $18.85 | 3d ago |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.063 | $31.31 | 3d ago |
| Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 360 | $0.055 | $19.83 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 156.47 | $0.690 | $107.96 | 3d ago |