Analytics
Yes is at 64%, up 14 points from 50% when the market opened on 21 Aug 2026.
Across the 69 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 80% on 10 Oct 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 66.5%; a month before, 26%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 42.5% on 14 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?”.
$948.4 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $147.59, with a 28.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 28 trades, $352.27 bought Yes and $179.24 bought No.
The largest Yes position is DontTrustMe with 729 shares; the largest No position is kdsads with 555.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 69 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 64.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DontTrustMe | Yes | 729.21 |
| kdsads | No | 554.99 |
| V1nch0u | No | 140.39 |
If an FIA Formula 1 World Championship Grand Prix is held in a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a race is considered "held" in a country if a Grand Prix that is part of the FIA Formula 1 World Championship takes place at a circuit physically located within the territory of the listed country and an official race classification is published by the FIA. The official name or sponsor title of the Grand Prix will have no bearing on the resolution of this market; only the physical location of the circuit will be considered. Exhibition events, testing sessions, and non-championship races will not count toward a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (https://www.formula1.com/en/results) and the FIA, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-host-an-f1-race-in-2026
| ArthurGreen |
| No |
| 69 |
| LightsOutF1 | Yes | 61.66 |
| Original-Anything-Petition | Yes | 40 |
| robert-mukhametov | No | 27.69 |
| Weird-Holder | No | 24.59 |
| Get10 | No | 20.22 |
| iceman313 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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