Analytics
Yes is at 47.5%, down 4.5 points from 52% when the market opened on 16 Sep 2026.
Across the 36 daily closes on record from 16 Sep 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 82.5% on 4 Oct 2026 and the lowest 30.5% on 17 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%; a month before, 39%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 82.5% on 4 Oct 2026.
$34.26 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.21K since listing. The order book holds $340.44, with a 15.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 185 trades, $1.36K bought Yes and $1.15K bought No.
The largest Yes position is LightsOutF1 with 884 shares; the largest No position is PCMTest with 517. Ten wallets hold 73.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 16 Sep 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2026 | 52.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 48.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LightsOutF1 | Yes | 883.53 |
| PCMTest | No | 516.96 |
| ArthurGreen | No | 514.31 |
The 2026 Formula 1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix is currently scheduled to take place at Yas Marina Circuit in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, on December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix race takes place in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, during the 2026 Formula One World Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such race has taken place in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No", regardless of whether the 2026 FIA Formula One World Championship has been completed. A postponement, rescheduling or change of start time will not affect this market's resolution, so long as the race takes place in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi by March 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. A change of circuit within the Emirate of Abu Dhabi will not affect this market's resolution. A race held in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi as part of the 2026 FIA Formula One World Championship will count regardless of the official name of the event. If the race is cancelled, or relocated to a venue outside the Emirate of Abu Dhabi (including elsewhere in the United Arab Emirates), this market will resolve to "No". The race will be considered to have taken place if the Grand Prix race officially starts, regardless of whether the full scheduled race distance is completed or full points are awarded. Practice, Qualifying and Sprint sessions will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 and the FIA, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-abu-dhabi-grand-prix-take-place-2026-12-06
| Turbo-J |
| Yes |
| 384.31 |
| Moritarium | Yes | 329.21 |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd | No | 245 |
| plague8888 | Yes | 221.02 |
| Started-with-20-USD | No | 211.25 |
| PollyEmperor | Yes | 190.25 |
| MtnMark | No | 190.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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