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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 3.9 | $0.930 | $3.89 | +$0.26 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.810 | $1.93 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 5.45 |
| $0.670 |
| $3.84 |
| +$0.19 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 3.68 | $0.770 | $3.14 | +$0.31 |
 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | 3.18 | $0.740 | $3.05 | +$0.7 |
 Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 3.11 | $0.980 | $2.98 | -$0.07 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 3.16 | $0.880 | $2.73 | -$0.05 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 2.66 | $0.950 | $2.62 | +$0.09 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | No | 2.23 | $0.989 | $2.21 | +$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.32 | $0.560 | $2.18 | +$0.32 |
 Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 2.25 | $0.950 | $2.15 | +$0.01 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.52 | $0.819 | $2.04 | -$0.84 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 2.24 | $0.840 | $1.89 | +$0.01 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 1.94 | $0.880 | $1.8 | +$0.09 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1.95 | $0.810 | $1.69 | +$0.11 |
| Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | Yes | 1.68 | $0.790 | $0.48 | -$0.85 |
 Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 3.4 | $0.870 | $0.39 | -$2.57 |
| buy |
| 1.91 |
| $0.560 |
| $1.07 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.68 | $0.790 | $1.33 | 5d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.840 | $1.88 | 5d ago |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 2.88 | $0.860 | $2.48 | 6d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.989 | $2.21 | 8d ago |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.480 | $1.13 | 9d ago |
| Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.420 | $1.09 | 11d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.14 | $0.650 | $1.39 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.956 | $2.17 | 15d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.680 | $1.46 | 16d ago |
 Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.490 | $1.08 | 16d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.953 | $2.17 | 16d ago |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?No | buy | 2.36 | $0.550 | $1.3 | 17d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 2.66 | $0.950 | $2.53 | 18d ago |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 2.89 | $0.880 | $2.54 | 18d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.680 | $2.1 | 18d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 3.34 | $0.706 | $2.36 | 18d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.400 | $1.29 | 19d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 3.68 | $0.770 | $2.83 | 19d ago |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.28 | $0.938 | $4.01 | 21d ago |
 Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?No | buy | 2.59 | $0.590 | $1.53 | 22d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.988 | $2.88 | 25d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.880 | $2.78 | 25d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.32 | $0.560 | $1.86 | 25d ago |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 3.74 | $0.985 | $3.68 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.52 | $0.819 | $2.88 | 26d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 3.9 | $0.930 | $3.63 | 26d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | sell | 3.88 | $0.110 | $0.43 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 3.89 | $0.810 | $3.15 | 28d ago |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.29 | $0.940 | $4.03 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Yes | sell | 3.77 | $0.950 | $3.58 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 2.14 | $0.967 | $2.07 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.960 | $3.62 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 2.05 | $0.670 | $1.37 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes | sell | 3.81 | $0.750 | $2.86 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 1.85 | $0.930 | $1.72 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | sell | 1.82 | $0.990 | $1.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes | sell | 3.41 | $0.934 | $3.18 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.956 | $2.88 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | sell | 3.41 | $0.900 | $3.07 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.730 | $2.09 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?No | sell | 4.03 | $0.300 | $1.21 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.330 | $1.33 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 1.64 | $0.870 | $1.43 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.870 | $2.97 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.870 | $2.97 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.987 | $3.7 | Aug 3, 2026 |