Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 4.48K | $0.796 | $3.96K | +$398.71 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 360 | $0.790 | $284.4 | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 5.64K |
| $0.646 |
| $3.41K |
| -$232.23 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 22.52K | $0.104 | $2.67K | +$329.58 |
 Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 3.67K | $0.325 | $2.17K | +$978.56 |
 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 391.31 | $0.940 | $386.03 | +$18.2 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | No | 360 | $0.790 | $322.2 | +$37.8 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 443.05 | $0.860 | $64.24 | -$316.78 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 310 | $0.210 | $44.95 | -$20.15 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 252.61 | $0.627 | $37.89 | -$120.54 |
| buy |
| 405 |
| $0.800 |
| $324 |
| 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 3.25K | $0.804 | $2.61K | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 820 | $0.760 | $623.2 | 5d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.61K | $0.140 | $225.25 | 7d ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 22.52K | $0.104 | $2.34K | 12d ago |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No | buy | 391.31 | $0.940 | $367.83 | 12d ago |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 216 | $0.330 | $71.33 | 12d ago |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 3.41K | $0.324 | $1.1K | 12d ago |
 Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Liquid | buy | 1.08K | $0.370 | $400 | 19d ago |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Liquid | buy | 270.27 | $0.370 | $100 | 19d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 935.45 | $0.387 | $361.92 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.390 | $389.97 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.389 | $11.67 | 20d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | sell | 1.55K | $0.432 | $669.25 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.53K | $0.263 | $664.69 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 1K | $0.830 | $830 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.800 | $960 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 600.64 | $0.380 | $228.24 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 74.38 | $0.483 | $35.95 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 443.05 | $0.860 | $381.02 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.540 | $32.4 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.53K | $0.670 | $1.69K | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 5.47K | $0.720 | $3.94K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 478 | $0.379 | $181.18 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 17.22 | $0.664 | $11.43 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.74K | $0.660 | $1.15K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 2K | $0.660 | $1.32K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.88K | $0.619 | $1.16K | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 4.46K | $0.860 | $3.83K | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.300 | $749.81 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 650.77 | $0.780 | $507.6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 1.61K | $0.730 | $1.18K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 1.46K | $0.850 | $1.24K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 3K | $0.820 | $2.46K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 474.47 | $0.625 | $296.74 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | sell | 724.55 | $0.928 | $672.06 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 533.64 | $0.141 | $75.24 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 221.46 | $0.132 | $29.25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?No | sell | 201.23 | $0.995 | $200.25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 572 | $0.772 | $441.58 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.810 | $85.05 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 122 | $0.751 | $91.6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 4.06K | $0.930 | $3.78K | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 255 | $0.746 | $190.31 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 1.58K | $0.107 | $169.28 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 1.58K | $0.075 | $118.32 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?No | sell | 2.3K | $0.989 | $2.28K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | buy | 724.56 | $0.069 | $50 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Yes | buy | 105.7 | $0.773 | $81.71 | Jul 26, 2026 |