Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 70.33 | $0.171 | $10.9 | -$1.14 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 7?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 94.67 |
| $0.076 |
| $5.21 |
| -$1.97 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | Yes | 26 | $0.315 | $5.2 | -$2.99 |
 Will Javier Bardem win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 368.13 | $0.010 | $4.05 | +$0.43 |
 Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 85 | $0.080 | $3.83 | -$2.98 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 56 | $0.070 | $3.64 | -$0.28 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 377.78 | $0.009 | $2.83 | -$0.57 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.080 | $2.8 | -$1.2 |
 Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | Yes | 108 | $0.059 | $2.75 | -$3.61 |
 Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 22 | $0.100 | $2.09 | -$0.11 |
 Will Bernie Sanders be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | Yes | 90 | $0.023 | $2.07 | $0 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 25 | $0.090 | $1.5 | -$0.75 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | No | 17 | $0.225 | $1.33 | -$2.5 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 52.99 | $0.019 | $1.3 | +$0.29 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 90 | $0.024 | $1.13 | -$1.04 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 2 | $0.050 | $0.97 | +$0.87 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 58 | $0.070 | $0.9 | -$3.16 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | Yes | 70 | $0.046 | $0.81 | -$2.42 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 50 | $0.070 | $0.75 | -$2.75 |
 Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.002 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | Yes | 13 | $0.040 | $0.59 | +$0.07 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 80 | $0.040 | $0.52 | -$2.68 |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.001 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | Yes | 59.99 | $0.033 | $0.36 | -$1.62 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 13 | $0.040 | $0.31 | -$0.21 |
| buy |
| 11.76 |
| $0.340 |
| $4 |
| 2d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 5?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.250 | $3.75 | 4d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 5?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | 5d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 3?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.049 | $0.98 | 6d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.67 | $0.150 | $1.6 | 6d ago |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 73.72 | $0.004 | $0.29 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 29?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.040 | $0.6 | 11d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 25.5 | $0.053 | $1.35 | 11d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 25?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 15d ago |
 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 161.47 | $0.012 | $1.96 | 15d ago |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.92 | $0.015 | $0.49 | 15d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 30.99 | $0.160 | $4.96 | 15d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.070 | $5.95 | 15d ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 16.3 | $0.640 | $10.43 | 15d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.317 | $1.59 | 15d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.085 | $0.85 | 19d ago |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | buy | 44.87 | $0.039 | $1.75 | 23d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.028 | $1.75 | 23d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 1.85K | $0.013 | $24.24 | 27d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 802.76 | $0.018 | $14.58 | 27d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.018 | $20 | 27d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 555.56 | $0.018 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 420.56 | $0.018 | $7.57 | 27d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 7.53 | $0.017 | $0.13 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.030 | $2.52 | 27d ago |
 Will "New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless" be the song of the summer?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.004 | $0.24 | 27d ago |
 Will Kai or Speed have more in-game deaths?Kai | sell | 955.82 | $0.001 | $0.96 | 27d ago |
 Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 169.93 | $0.001 | $0.17 | 28d ago |
 Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | sell | 86.88 | $0.008 | $0.71 | 28d ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.43 | $0.420 | $1.44 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.014 | $1.82 | 29d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.420 | $12.6 | 29d ago |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.001 | $0.17 | 29d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.450 | $13.5 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 54.98 | $0.003 | $0.16 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.004 | $0.8 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Kai or Speed have more in-game deaths?Kai | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.050 | $3.85 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | sell | 45 | $0.005 | $0.23 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?Yes | sell | 224.21 | $0.010 | $2.35 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.061 | $0.31 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?Yes | buy | 33.95 | $0.029 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.034 | $2.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |