Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Megaquake by August 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.33 |
| $0.750 |
| $1.07 |
| +$0.07 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | No | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)? | Yes | 1.12 | $0.895 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.45 | $0.690 | $0.92 | -$0.08 |
| buy |
| 7.69 |
| $0.650 |
| $5 |
| Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.895 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.936 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by August 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 GPT ads by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.14 | $0.933 | $2 | Jan 18, 2026 |