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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 15.79 | $0.529 | $15.77 | +$7.42 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.077 | $1.54 | 2d ago |
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| No |
| 3.92 |
| $0.560 |
| $3.71 |
| +$1.52 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | No | 4.68 | $0.475 | $3.67 | +$1.45 |
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 4.79 | $0.610 | $3.26 | +$0.34 |
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title? | No | 3 | $0.410 | $2.95 | +$1.72 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 18 | $0.060 | $2.91 | +$1.83 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.508 | $2.88 | +$0.34 |
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 10 | $0.410 | $2.8 | -$1.3 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5 | $0.458 | $2.63 | +$0.34 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 3 | $0.470 | $2.6 | +$1.19 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 3 | $0.470 | $2.57 | +$1.16 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5 | $0.468 | $2.28 | -$0.07 |
Will the Republican Party win the RI-01 House seat? | Yes | 36 | $0.060 | $1.98 | -$0.18 |
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 30 | $0.037 | $1.94 | +$0.83 |
Will Trump and Putin not meet? | No | 3 | $0.460 | $1.94 | +$0.56 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 2 | $0.600 | $1.87 | +$0.67 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 2 | $0.530 | $1.81 | +$0.75 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.110 | $1.8 | +$0.7 |
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | Yes | 2 | $0.590 | $1.79 | +$0.61 |
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | No | 2.39 | $0.430 | $1.77 | +$0.74 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 50.37 | $0.044 | $1.74 | -$0.5 |
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30? | Yes | 2 | $0.620 | $1.66 | +$0.42 |
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 2 | $0.510 | $1.65 | +$0.63 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3 | $0.430 | $1.64 | +$0.35 |
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | Yes | 20 | $0.077 | $1.57 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.110 |
| $1.1 |
| 17d ago |
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.010 | $1.1 | 17d ago |
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?No | buy | 3 | $0.410 | $1.23 | 18d ago |
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 14?No | buy | 2 | $0.510 | $1.02 | 27d ago |
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.033 | $1.32 | 27d ago |
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.130 | $1.04 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.590 | $1.18 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.034 | $1.02 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.590 | $1.18 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.460 | $1.38 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?No | buy | 3 | $0.460 | $1.38 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 2 | $0.520 | $1.04 | Aug 1, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.460 | $1.38 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.620 | $1.24 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 3 | $0.410 | $1.23 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-07-30?No | buy | 60 | $0.018 | $1.08 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.100 | $1.1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.010 | $1.1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.044 | $1.1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.009 | $1.08 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.055 | $1.1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.075 | $1.05 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.005 | $1.1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 2 | $0.600 | $1.2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.620 | $1.24 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 3 | $0.490 | $1.47 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.400 | $1.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.560 | $1.12 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 8?No | buy | 2 | $0.560 | $1.12 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 2 | $0.610 | $1.22 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7?No | buy | 2 | $0.620 | $1.24 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?No | buy | 14.97 | $0.062 | $0.93 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.510 | $1.02 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.590 | $1.18 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | buy | 2 | $0.620 | $1.24 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.560 | $1.12 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.410 | $1.23 | Jul 4, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 3 | $0.430 | $1.29 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.496 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.540 | $1.08 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.510 | $1.02 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in July?No | buy | 2 | $0.590 | $1.18 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 3 | $0.480 | $1.44 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No | buy | 3 | $0.440 | $1.32 | Jul 4, 2026 |