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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 196.49 | $0.650 | $177.83 | +$50.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | 3h ago |
 |
| No |
| 45.64 |
| $0.430 |
| $36.74 |
| +$17.12 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 110.74 | $0.415 | $16.06 | -$29.89 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 12.78 | $0.640 | $12.58 | +$4.4 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 12.99 | $0.930 | $12.49 | +$0.41 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 30.35 | $0.420 | $10.32 | -$2.43 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 4.58 | $0.720 | $3.57 | +$0.27 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 13.26 | $0.370 | $2.72 | -$2.19 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 106.25 | $0.120 | $2.44 | -$10.31 |
| buy |
| 42.31 |
| $0.580 |
| $24.54 |
| 1d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?Yes | sell | 111.43 | $0.920 | $102.52 | 12d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?Yes | buy | 111.43 | $0.897 | $100 | 12d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 120.44 | $0.880 | $105.99 | 13d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 42.34 | $0.984 | $41.66 | 16d ago |
 Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Yandex | buy | 189 | $0.001 | $0.19 | 18d ago |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit | buy | 33.16 | $0.350 | $11.61 | 19d ago |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit | buy | 45.88 | $0.250 | $11.47 | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 106.25 | $0.120 | $12.75 | 19d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 71.81 | $0.260 | $18.67 | 21d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 42.36 | $0.844 | $35.75 | 23d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 120.44 | $0.830 | $99.97 | 23d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.81 | $0.320 | $22.98 | 23d ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 37.14 | $0.600 | $22.28 | 23d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | sell | 112.16 | $0.140 | $15.7 | 27d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 38.58 | $0.194 | $7.48 | 28d ago |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | sell | 26.4 | $0.830 | $21.91 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.37 | $0.370 | $1.99 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 137.83 | $0.180 | $24.81 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 65.7 | $0.870 | $57.16 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 68.6 | $0.860 | $59 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 42.05 | $0.510 | $21.45 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 88.3 | $0.430 | $37.97 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 68.6 | $0.430 | $29.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 65.71 | $0.530 | $34.83 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during Michigan remarks?No | sell | 272.5 | $0.090 | $24.53 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 92.16 | $0.250 | $23.04 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | sell | 0.51 | $0.510 | $0.26 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 43.5 | $0.590 | $25.67 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?No | buy | 43.2 | $0.480 | $20.74 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 95.45 | $0.220 | $21 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 513.21 | $0.997 | $511.67 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 40.7 | $0.238 | $9.69 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 56.13 | $0.150 | $8.42 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 59.13 | $0.150 | $8.87 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 66.78 | $0.140 | $9.35 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 65.46 | $0.150 | $9.82 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 28.56 | $0.280 | $8 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 25.37 | $0.320 | $8.12 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 21.37 | $0.680 | $14.53 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 13.89 | $0.983 | $13.65 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 6.89 | $0.670 | $4.62 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 6.8 | $0.840 | $5.71 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.860 | $6.34 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 19.45 | $0.460 | $8.95 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 96.68 | $0.550 | $53.17 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 1.84 | $0.972 | $1.79 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 3 | $0.530 | $1.59 | Jun 20, 2026 |