Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 4K | $0.942 | $3.86K | +$86.07 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 28.28 | $0.300 | $8.48 | 16h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 4.56K |
| $0.470 |
| $2.21K |
| +$68.46 |
 Will Jason De Puy come in third-place on Big Brother season 28? | No | 1.81K | $0.980 | $1.81K | +$34.47 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.02K | $0.530 | $558.08 | +$15.36 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.263 | $356.25 | -$301.02 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10K | $0.014 | $185 | +$40.94 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9.08K | $0.007 | $68.12 | +$5.3 |
 Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? | No | 60 | $0.860 | $54.6 | +$3 |
 Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22? | Yes | 20 | $0.740 | $17.3 | +$2.5 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 300 | $0.213 | $14.7 | -$49.2 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3K | $0.013 | $13.5 | -$25.5 |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.440 | $13.5 | +$4.7 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 184 | $0.044 | $10.03 | +$1.93 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 703.24 | $0.001 | $0.35 | -$0.35 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 670.23 | $0.001 | $0.34 | -$0.33 |
| buy |
| 114.99 |
| $0.290 |
| $33.35 |
| 16h ago |
 Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?Yes | buy | 131 | $0.520 | $68.12 | 17h ago |
| Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?No | buy | 131 | $0.460 | $60.26 | 17h ago |
 TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime TouchdownNo | buy | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | 1d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 184 | $0.044 | $8.1 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.530 | $542.72 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.007 | $70 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.007 | $7.78 | 9d ago |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.860 | $51.6 | 12d ago |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.006 | $6 | 12d ago |
 Will Trump say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during remarks at NASA?No | buy | 45 | $0.510 | $22.95 | 12d ago |
 Will Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 25 | $0.870 | $21.75 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 8.42 | $0.969 | $8.16 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 77.04 | $0.530 | $40.83 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 51.9 | $0.938 | $48.7 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 40.77 | $0.520 | $21.2 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 339.99 | $0.374 | $127.32 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 122 | $0.340 | $41.48 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 9 | $0.450 | $4.05 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 196.63 | $0.220 | $43.26 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 170.82 | $0.530 | $90.53 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 364.46 | $0.655 | $238.56 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 327 | $0.275 | $90.02 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 137.16 | $0.377 | $51.74 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 98.51 | $0.210 | $20.67 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 272.81 | $0.310 | $84.57 | 13d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 267 | $0.660 | $176.22 | 13d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 645.94 | $0.220 | $142.11 | 13d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 125.99 | $0.350 | $44.1 | 13d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 670.23 | $0.001 | $0.67 | 14d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 703.24 | $0.001 | $0.7 | 14d ago |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?No | buy | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | 14d ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 413.95 | $0.002 | $0.83 | 15d ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?No | buy | 3.73K | $0.003 | $12.42 | 15d ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the September interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.001 | $1.2 | 15d ago |
 Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Tele-Rallies?No | buy | 22.33 | $0.990 | $22.11 | 16d ago |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Tele-Rallies?No | buy | 73.59 | $0.990 | $72.85 | 16d ago |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" during Tele-Rallies?No | buy | 34.58 | $0.960 | $33.2 | 16d ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.001 | $0.03 | 16d ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 651.1 | $0.001 | $0.65 | 17d ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the September interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.001 | $1.11 | 17d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.89 | $0.336 | $37.6 | 20d ago |
 Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 779 | $0.846 | $659.36 | 22d ago |
| Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 212.1 | $0.810 | $171.8 | 22d ago |
| Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 17.9 | $0.710 | $12.71 | 22d ago |
| Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.710 | $717.09 | 22d ago |
| Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 755 | $0.710 | $536.05 | 22d ago |
| Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 4.22K | $0.726 | $3.06K | 22d ago |