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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 420.63 | $0.840 | $359.64 | +$6.31 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 10.78 | $0.640 | $6.9 | 17h ago |
|
| No |
| 243.27 |
| $0.909 |
| $223.81 |
| +$2.64 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 171.53 | $0.905 | $165.95 | +$10.76 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 477.67 | $0.555 | $160.02 | -$104.93 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 86.19 | $0.780 | $85.46 | +$18.23 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 83.52 | $0.810 | $79.34 | +$11.72 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 97.23 | $0.818 | $56.15 | -$23.42 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 193.44 | $0.306 | $53.2 | -$6.03 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 332.08 | $0.154 | $53.13 | +$1.87 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 312.47 | $0.492 | $45.31 | -$108.33 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 92.88 | $0.539 | $44.12 | -$5.97 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 39.9 | $0.586 | $38.19 | +$14.8 |
 Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026? | No | 38.16 | $0.966 | $37.7 | +$0.84 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 368.53 | $0.178 | $36.85 | -$28.61 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 198.94 | $0.342 | $29.84 | -$38.17 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 10.78 | $0.640 | $7.6 | +$0.7 |
 USMCA extended in 2026? | No | 6.16 | $0.800 | $5.45 | +$0.52 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 5.04 | $0.963 | $4.85 | -$0 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 18.86 | $0.280 | $4.24 | -$1.04 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 104.54 | $0.130 | $2.4 | -$11.19 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 21 | $0.160 | $0.69 | -$2.67 |
| buy |
| 75.79 |
| $0.900 |
| $68.21 |
| 18h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.91 | $0.900 | $5.32 | 20h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 80.34 | $0.918 | $73.72 | 21h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 81.23 | $0.910 | $73.92 | 22h ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 223.23 | $0.950 | $212.07 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 15.95 | $0.950 | $15.15 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 79.73 | $0.940 | $74.95 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 80.61 | $0.610 | $49.17 | 1d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | sell | 49.33 | $0.920 | $45.38 | 2d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 41.73 | $0.949 | $39.6 | 3d ago |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.241 | $1.72 | 3d ago |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes | sell | 10.6 | $0.210 | $2.23 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 79.48 | $0.648 | $51.48 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 39.7 | $0.547 | $21.72 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 78.67 | $0.567 | $44.64 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 83.76 | $0.572 | $47.88 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 35.1 | $0.600 | $21.06 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 21.16 | $0.608 | $12.87 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 27.39 | $0.590 | $16.16 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 78.89 | $0.620 | $48.91 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 24.8 | $0.668 | $16.56 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.96 | $0.510 | $4.06 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 39.66 | $0.453 | $17.98 | 4d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 50.39 | $0.190 | $9.57 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 44.84 | $0.370 | $16.59 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.68 | $0.370 | $9.87 | 9d ago |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.963 | $4.85 | 9d ago |
 Will Noor Tarun win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?No | buy | 39.28 | $0.983 | $38.61 | 10d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No | buy | 42.21 | $0.730 | $30.81 | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No | buy | 42.21 | $0.730 | $30.81 | 10d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.68 | $0.440 | $2.94 | 11d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 43.72 | $0.511 | $22.33 | 11d ago |
 Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Yes | buy | 11.07 | $0.550 | $6.09 | 11d ago |
 Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?No | buy | 23.62 | $0.550 | $12.99 | 11d ago |
| Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Yes | buy | 13.95 | $0.550 | $7.67 | 11d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | sell | 5.6 | $0.838 | $4.69 | 12d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | sell | 26.86 | $0.840 | $22.56 | 12d ago |
 Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by August 31?No | buy | 15.31 | $0.970 | $14.85 | 13d ago |
| Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?No | buy | 22.43 | $0.530 | $11.89 | 13d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 18.86 | $0.280 | $5.28 | 13d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 82.85 | $0.960 | $79.54 | 14d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | buy | 80.29 | $0.340 | $27.3 | 16d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 78.68 | $0.837 | $65.86 | 16d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 42.85 | $0.831 | $35.6 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.340 | $2.73 | 17d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | buy | 6.57 | $0.530 | $3.48 | 17d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | buy | 73.41 | $0.340 | $24.96 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.350 | $2.48 | 18d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No | buy | 102.05 | $0.200 | $20.41 | 18d ago |