Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 3.37 | $0.110 | $2.04 | +$1.67 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Aug 5, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 0.8 |
| $0.450 |
| $0.67 |
| +$0.31 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | No | 0.56 | $0.696 | $0.55 | +$0.15 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 0.9 | $0.460 | $0.48 | +$0.07 |
 Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | Yes | 0.49 | $0.618 | $0.45 | +$0.15 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.58 | $0.397 | $0.23 | +$0 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 0.61 | $0.389 | $0.1 | -$0.14 |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.14 | $0.706 | $0.1 | -$0 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.2 | $0.450 | $0.08 | -$0.01 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.63 | $0.350 | $0.08 | -$0.14 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | Yes | 0.49 | $0.118 | $0.05 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.040 |
| $0.2 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | sell | 6 | $0.160 | $0.96 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.716 | $5.73 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Oregon reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 11 | $0.380 | $4.18 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Oregon reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August?No | sell | 19 | $0.837 | $15.9 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?No | sell | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.854 | $17.08 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?No | sell | 27 | $0.920 | $24.84 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?No | sell | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.070 | $1.89 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?No | sell | 29 | $0.360 | $10.44 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.560 | $15.68 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.410 | $12.3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.560 | $16.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.955 | $28.65 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | sell | 30 | $0.040 | $1.2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.950 | $28.5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 30 | $0.827 | $24.81 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.160 | $4.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.110 | $3.3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.750 | $22.5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.082 | $2.46 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?No | sell | 30 | $0.410 | $12.3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.570 | $17.1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.601 | $18.03 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.360 | $10.81 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.690 | $20.7 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.290 | $8.7 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.660 | $19.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9?No | sell | 30 | $0.810 | $24.3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.150 | $4.5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.720 | $21.6 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.213 | $6.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?No | sell | 30 | $0.310 | $9.3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.670 | $20.1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.680 | $20.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9?No | sell | 30 | $0.710 | $21.3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.260 | $7.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 32 | $0.936 | $29.95 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.048 | $1.49 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No | sell | 32 | $0.430 | $13.76 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.560 | $17.36 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.146 | $5.1 | Aug 5, 2026 |