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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | No | 79 | $0.620 | $78.41 | +$29.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 99 |
| $0.750 |
| $73.76 |
| -$0.49 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 68 | $0.879 | $57.8 | -$1.97 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 104 | $0.550 | $54.6 | -$2.6 |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | Yes | 78 | $0.670 | $51.87 | -$0.39 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 88 | $0.450 | $48.84 | +$9.24 |
 Will Left Party (V) win at least 9% of all valid votes? | No | 54 | $0.840 | $46.44 | +$1.08 |
 Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 46 | $0.884 | $39.35 | -$1.31 |
 Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes? | No | 50 | $0.800 | $38.75 | -$1.25 |
 Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes? | No | 44 | $0.910 | $35.86 | -$4.18 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | Yes | 140 | $0.590 | $35.7 | -$46.9 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 76 | $0.690 | $34.58 | -$17.86 |
 Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | Yes | 38 | $0.880 | $34.39 | +$0.95 |
| Will Grüne win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 36 | $0.903 | $33.3 | +$0.8 |
 Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? | No | 38 | $0.848 | $33.06 | +$0.83 |
 Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 52 | $0.660 | $32.76 | -$1.56 |
 Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election? | Yes | 40 | $0.740 | $32.6 | +$3 |
 Will JD Vance say "2028" or "Campaign" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 38 | $0.730 | $31.92 | +$4.18 |
 Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 40 | $0.780 | $31 | -$0.2 |
| Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | No | 54 | $0.650 | $30.51 | -$4.59 |
 Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election? | Yes | 36 | $0.819 | $29.16 | -$0.33 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | Yes | 50 | $0.200 | $28.75 | +$18.75 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | Yes | 40 | $0.608 | $27.4 | +$3.08 |
 Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes? | No | 40 | $0.800 | $27.2 | -$4.8 |
 Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | Yes | 72 | $0.220 | $27 | +$11.16 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.350 |
| $7 |
| 1d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 84 | $0.100 | $8.4 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 22 | $0.380 | $8.36 | 1d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.880 | $10.56 | 1d ago |
 Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.740 | $32.56 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 111 | $0.959 | $106.41 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 22 | $0.290 | $6.38 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump say "Tunnel to Towers" during remarks at Steel Across America?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.801 | $12.82 | 1d ago |
 Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | 1d ago |
 Games Total: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | 1d ago |
| LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League PlayoffsDplus KIA Challengers | buy | 70 | $0.790 | $55.3 | 1d ago |
 Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsMisa Esports | buy | 26 | $0.400 | $10.4 | 1d ago |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?Yes | buy | 27.99 | $0.610 | $17.07 | 1d ago |
 Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?No | buy | 34 | $0.690 | $23.46 | 1d ago |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BFURIA | buy | 88 | $0.840 | $73.92 | 1d ago |
| Will JD Vance say "2028" or "Campaign" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | 1d ago |
| Berlin State Election: CDU Over/Under 20%?Over | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | 2d ago |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 26 | $0.380 | $9.88 | 2d ago |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.188 | $10.54 | 2d ago |
 Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-07?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.450 | $9.9 | 2d ago |
| LoL: Arctic Pandas vs The Ruddy Sack (BO5) - NLC PlayoffsThe Ruddy Sack | buy | 26 | $0.620 | $16.12 | 2d ago |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsInvictus Gaming | buy | 42 | $0.640 | $26.88 | 2d ago |
 Will Nabor win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?No | buy | 14 | $0.740 | $10.36 | 2d ago |
| Will JD Vance say "America First" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.347 | $10.4 | 2d ago |
 Will Marina JHC win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?No | buy | 16 | $0.650 | $10.4 | 2d ago |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.720 | $10.08 | 2d ago |
 Will Victor Mellor be the RI-02 Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.190 | $9.88 | 2d ago |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.400 | $10.4 | 2d ago |
| Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%?Under | buy | 20.68 | $0.310 | $6.41 | 2d ago |
| Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 40 | $0.780 | $31.2 | 2d ago |
 Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 14.89 | $0.340 | $5.06 | 2d ago |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.670 | $52.26 | 2d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.750 | $74.25 | 2d ago |
 Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | buy | 16 | $0.660 | $10.56 | 2d ago |
 Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?Yes | buy | 27.93 | $0.320 | $8.94 | 2d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in September?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | 2d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.120 | $10.08 | 2d ago |
 Will Vitória SC win on 2026-09-06?Yes | buy | 55.99 | $0.610 | $34.15 | 2d ago |
| Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 54 | $0.650 | $35.1 | 2d ago |
 Chicago Cubs vs. Miami MarlinsChicago Cubs | buy | 24 | $0.560 | $13.44 | 2d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.650 | $6.51 | 2d ago |
 Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.230 | $9.2 | 3d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto PlayoffsSpirit | buy | 232 | $0.630 | $146.16 | 3d ago |
| Will Trump say "Tunnel to Towers" during remarks at Steel Across America?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.900 | $14.4 | 3d ago |
 Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.360 | $10.08 | 3d ago |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.570 | $10.26 | 3d ago |
 Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 28 | $0.720 | $20.16 | 3d ago |
| Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 44 | $0.910 | $40.04 | 3d ago |
 Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | buy | 66 | $0.150 | $9.9 | 3d ago |