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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 38.27 | $0.523 | $23.92 | +$3.92 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | 9d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 35.71 |
| $0.560 |
| $22.32 |
| +$2.32 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40.5 | $0.679 | $15.19 | -$12.3 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 193.55 | $0.155 | $14.03 | -$15.97 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 84.25 | $0.200 | $13.06 | -$3.79 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 12.23 | $0.818 | $10.42 | +$0.42 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 11.49 | $0.870 | $9.48 | -$0.52 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.270 | $8.33 | -$1.67 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.090 | $7.22 | -$2.78 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.270 | $4.63 | -$5.37 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.600 | $3.58 | -$6.42 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 18.18 | $0.550 | $3.55 | -$6.45 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 26.86 | $0.250 | $2.55 | -$4.16 |
| buy |
| 9.26 |
| $0.540 |
| $5 |
| 12d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.2 | $0.080 | $0.82 | 18d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.090 | $0.26 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.02 | $0.445 | $10.69 | 21d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 31.24 | $0.720 | $22.49 | 22d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.9 | $0.080 | $0.07 | 24d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.13 | $0.080 | $0.09 | 24d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.01 | $0.080 | $0.16 | 24d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.080 | $0.1 | 24d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.28 | $0.080 | $0.42 | 24d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.6 | $0.080 | $0.21 | 24d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 12.22 | $0.818 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | 28d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.027 | $1.59 | 29d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.230 | $3.59 | 29d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.210 | $0.22 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 34.41 | $0.886 | $30.49 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | sell | 0.18 | $0.900 | $0.16 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 13.86 | $0.659 | $9.13 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | sell | 8.39 | $0.880 | $7.38 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | sell | 0.53 | $0.880 | $0.47 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 13.86 | $0.721 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | sell | 2.39 | $0.880 | $2.1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 34.41 | $0.888 | $30.56 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.065 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 84.25 | $0.200 | $16.85 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.46 | $0.542 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.690 | $16.83 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 40.54 | $0.846 | $34.3 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.044 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.53K | $0.005 | $12.21 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.53K | $0.012 | $30 | Aug 3, 2026 |