Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Name: Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

cryptoActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes

10.0%

90.0%

Buy Yes 10¢Buy No 90¢

24h Volume

$5.2K

Total volume

$233.5K

Liquidity

$6.9K

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Open positions

The positions Polymarket reports for this market, largest first.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
manekineko	No	13K	79.0%	$10.26K	Sep 6, 1:19 PM UTC
KmafiaFANS	Yes	12.55K	18.9%	$2.25K	Oct 3, 9:38 AM UTC
qmarktea2	No	12.09K	85.9%	$10.35K	Oct 7, 12:05 AM UTC
Smartventurecap	Yes	11.35K	22.4%	$2.41K	Sep 24, 4:03 PM UTC
WillFS	No	9K	84.4%	$7.56K	Jul 18, 10:03 AM UTC
lejcles	Yes	7.97K	28.4%	$2.23K	Oct 2, 1:48 PM UTC
oklmltd	Yes	5.92K	31.6%	$1.86K
mewmew1	No	5.38K	73.2%	$3.87K
LALISA1	Yes	4.94K	73.5%	$3.63K	Jul 23, 3:08 PM UTC
wahtsit	Yes	4.49K	30.3%	$1.36K
gorovi	No	4.39K	90.9%	$3.97K	Oct 8, 8:17 AM UTC
polybettor	No	4.08K	78.5%	$3.2K	Oct 2, 2:41 PM UTC
EthanDeFi	No	3.79K	64.4%	$2.44K	Oct 6, 5:04 PM UTC
Kowrail	Yes	3.5K	10.3%	$360
TREND	Yes	3K	46.3%	$1.39K
whig	No	2.92K	66.7%	$1.95K
Ryan1365	No	2.84K	62.4%	$1.77K
Cyberflems	No	2.6K	68.0%	$1.77K
phdcapital	No	2.58K	80.9%	$2.07K
Profprocras	Yes	2.56K	16.6%	$400.9	Aug 21, 9:17 AM UTC
AlmightyKronos	Yes	2.39K	18.4%	$415.58	Sep 1, 11:40 PM UTC
Orange-Seep	No	2.37K	51.9%	$1.23K
Serene-Decision	No	2.3K	85.2%	$1.96K	Oct 3, 6:46 AM UTC
LemonBrothers	Yes	2.12K	48.6%	$1.03K
cripes3	No	1.9K	65.0%	$1.23K
nchgbhy	No	1.83K	83.0%	$1.52K
bibbb	Yes	1.57K	21.4%	$317.76	Sep 8, 11:07 AM UTC
bosshog	No	1.57K	84.8%	$1.33K
BerkshireHahaway	No	1.53K	79.8%	$1.22K
muddyrc	No	1.47K	66.6%	$979.15
dima23000	No	1.4K	71.1%	$994.6	Oct 1, 7:39 PM UTC
Unfolded-Parable	Yes	1.29K	18.3%	$223.26	Sep 29, 7:21 PM UTC
Decent-Territory	Yes	1.27K	30.5%	$387.75	Oct 3, 5:07 PM UTC
EliesMarket	Yes	1.21K	17.9%	$206.51
wish-	No	1.2K	82.7%	$992
Dimer	Yes	1.2K	19.5%	$234
testmebaby	Yes	1.16K	17.6%	$204.97
BobbyBakedBeans	No	1.11K	81.8%	$907.08
Boogy	Yes	1.1K	38.1%	$418.55
Pondermint	Yes	1.08K	17.9%	$185.63	Aug 17, 11:50 AM UTC
izouh2	Yes	1.01K	34.8%	$350
Aveen	Yes	997.59	17.0%	$160	Oct 5, 9:13 AM UTC
imjustalarp	Yes	991.94	69.0%	$684.44
Pure-Terrarium-Item	Yes	991.19	31.2%	$294.59	Sep 7, 7:59 PM UTC
LApprenti	Yes	968.05	43.7%	$422.86
purplegatto	No	879.93	81.3%	$706.16	Oct 2, 5:04 PM UTC
CooneyPoy	Yes	819.82	11.3%	$91.57	Jul 31, 1:20 PM UTC
Piair	Yes	796.66	15.7%	$123.19	Oct 2, 8:02 AM UTC
victorg82	Yes	747.59	26.8%	$200
totosushi	Yes	741.77	31.4%	$230
banobtc	Yes	731.19	34.2%	$242.48	Sep 20, 11:51 AM UTC
azumi21	Yes	718.49	20.0%	$141.16	Oct 5, 3:05 AM UTC
ValdeMURRR	No	690.31	67.2%	$463.3
CounterBigA	Yes	690.17	15.9%	$103.77	Aug 30, 9:48 AM UTC
Drawin	Yes	680.62	29.2%	$189.13	Sep 6, 4:57 AM UTC
Snash-Fr	Yes	675.78	37.1%	$250.75
FirstPick	Yes	655.83	11.7%	$75.03	Oct 5, 3:06 PM UTC
senzer	Yes	650	26.0%	$169
sdiff123	No	650	69.1%	$448	Aug 26, 12:26 PM UTC
AngryRhino	No	644.21	79.0%	$508.93
daweishashax	No	623.51	73.0%	$446.59	Oct 2, 1:57 PM UTC
HaappyForYou	Yes	614.7	19.4%	$113.25	Oct 2, 10:37 PM UTC
RATHMA4	No	600	88.0%	$528
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935	No	598.22	86.5%	$517.51
Kashflow	Yes	596.63	10.6%	$59.66	Sep 14, 12:43 PM UTC
GamblingDino	No	568.74	86.7%	$488.35	Jul 13, 5:22 AM UTC
fabolous7	Yes	568.14	26.9%	$150
0xRaph	Yes	557.74	36.7%	$204.63
plsnothackme	No	502.71	70.7%	$347.9	Oct 2, 1:49 PM UTC
ponzi	No	500	88.7%	$440	Jul 18, 10:39 AM UTC
delord	No	500	70.0%	$350
Crypthom12	Yes	447.57	25.1%	$109.17	Jul 10, 6:40 AM UTC
Jooba	Yes	443.11	66.4%	$294.08
brooklynmango	No	441.64	69.4%	$306.7
firewalker923	No	426.56	84.1%	$358.17	Sep 6, 4:01 PM UTC
wagmiser	No	422.22	89.7%	$376	Sep 22, 7:19 PM UTC
itsfrenchie	Yes	400	8.8%	$35
pp101	No	400	69.5%	$272	Oct 2, 1:53 PM UTC
taralynnbar	No	399.99	84.9%	$335.76	Oct 4, 5:44 AM UTC
UntitledUser1	No	388.08	82.8%	$321.29
-Yang-	No	369.9	81.7%	$301.72	Sep 25, 10:49 AM UTC
Elias.Thornwell	No	363.28	85.3%	$307.92	Jul 30, 10:43 PM UTC
miya2016	No	325	89.5%	$290.9
hector3	Yes	321.99	26.0%	$83.78
10200	Yes	316.24	18.7%	$55.92	Sep 26, 7:22 PM UTC
Pranjal	No	304	66.0%	$200.64
Hyjj	No	300	87.3%	$262
Wagmi420	Yes	300	35.7%	$107
Mardoxyz	Yes	300	38.0%	$114
Whyalwaysme97	Yes	298.52	10.3%	$30.78
nononononono	Yes	294.17	33.6%	$97.93	Sep 24, 10:13 AM UTC
AJSV	Yes	290.95	12.2%	$34.33	Oct 8, 6:18 PM UTC
alijbee	No	264.59	77.2%	$201.03	Oct 2, 1:49 PM UTC
danteszim	Yes	250.89	20.0%	$47.07	Sep 1, 3:33 AM UTC
Grand-Headrest	Yes	247.62	27.0%	$65.09
green9	Yes	240.67	27.2%	$65.57
ML得意	No	235.64	67.8%	$159.68
hedgeit	No	235	81.1%	$190.5
alpenict	No	225.06	89.5%	$200	Oct 1, 7:49 PM UTC
SongXiaoFeng	No	219.79	89.6%	$195.46	Sep 12, 12:27 PM UTC
psymon	Yes	201.25	15.8%	$30	Oct 1, 2:13 PM UTC
adkjhahgddfdsf	No	200	65.8%	$131.64
Quael	Yes	200	35.0%	$70
ohbabybaby	Yes	196.3	26.8%	$50
BLAHBLAHBLAH-298	No	195.59	88.7%	$172.12	Sep 30, 3:55 PM UTC
HyperYes	Yes	160.33	21.5%	$32.67	Sep 1, 8:26 PM UTC
SomerandomD	No	158.93	83.8%	$131.67	Oct 2, 9:45 PM UTC
ourdemocracy2	No	155	86.9%	$133.35	Aug 2, 4:16 PM UTC
1925	No	154.28	36.9%	$57
Crimson Ledger 2573	No	150	82.0%	$121.37
labrats	Yes	150	35.7%	$53.5
peenman	Yes	141.62	13.0%	$18.41
ElonMuusk	No	140	32.7%	$45.8
jin-mori	Yes	140	34.8%	$48.8
Zoo86	Yes	130	39.0%	$50.7
Gernotti	Yes	125.36	13.0%	$16.3
Dorrieworrie	No	121.3	71.0%	$86.12
lakatosnapoleon	No	120.01	65.3%	$78.1	Sep 13, 7:20 AM UTC
ldlc38	Yes	117.76	13.8%	$15.31	Jul 19, 10:44 AM UTC
brokx13	No	116.28	86.8%	$100	Sep 5, 11:12 PM UTC
0xhl	Yes	115.45	52.1%	$60.13
knyzh	No	111.42	84.9%	$93.59	Oct 3, 7:02 PM UTC
arni45	Yes	110	47.4%	$52.2
Liquidifier	Yes	108.71	37.0%	$40.22
5atka	Yes	106.4	38.0%	$40.43
il1	No	100	77.0%	$77
HYLIT	No	100	81.0%	$81
wetmarket	Yes	100	37.0%	$37
Valknut	Yes	100	11.1%	$11	Sep 6, 1:37 PM UTC
Keen Summit DD20	Yes	100	30.0%	$30
varch01	No	100	83.0%	$83
ioannisgr	Yes	99.31	67.9%	$67.48
soulsonic9	Yes	91.9	22.9%	$20
Inesf	Yes	90.09	22.9%	$20	Sep 21, 9:10 AM UTC
Tail	Yes	90.08	37.0%	$33.33
SimplyLaura	Yes	77.88	18.7%	$14	Sep 18, 11:52 AM UTC
Acrobatic-Delivery	No	71.43	71.5%	$50
0xhl	No	70	64.0%	$44.8
lolsda	Yes	67.8	15.6%	$10	Aug 23, 12:31 PM UTC
0xkiboo	Yes	60.52	27.0%	$16	Sep 24, 9:08 AM UTC
sirw	Yes	60.33	7.0%	$4.22
Iskele	No	60.01	78.0%	$46.8
hyperchristo	Yes	60	14.8%	$8.4	Sep 21, 10:12 AM UTC
CryptoAll	Yes	60	32.0%	$19.2
Quiet Sphinx C754	Yes	58.32	47.0%	$27.41
theldentity	Yes	58.06	19.8%	$10.86
shizuoka.eblan	No	56.18	89.7%	$50	Aug 19, 7:53 PM UTC
R.I.PBOZO	No	55.72	79.6%	$44	Sep 6, 12:52 PM UTC
RealMrDark	No	55.56	90.6%	$50	Sep 16, 8:10 AM UTC
prepodobniy	Yes	55.56	27.0%	$15
Minecraft	No	55	16.0%	$8.8
crypto.guru.	Yes	52.63	20.1%	$10
tumadre	Yes	51.51	50.1%	$25.81
pootytherewardfarmer	No	51	48.0%	$24.48
Gorgeous-Cooking	Yes	50	76.0%	$38
Darling-Minion	Yes	50	15.9%	$7.5	Sep 7, 2:07 AM UTC
frostyhopper	No	49.47	91.7%	$45.09	Oct 8, 2:27 PM UTC
EconProf	No	48.19	83.0%	$39.52	Oct 3, 6:00 AM UTC
Noukou	Yes	44.66	24.0%	$10.48	Sep 30, 8:18 AM UTC
SergioCKV	Yes	42.78	33.0%	$14
Biniou	Yes	40.54	37.0%	$15
lyoo1210	No	40.07	83.0%	$32.86	Sep 27, 2:52 AM UTC
SeekingDbl	No	40	92.5%	$36.8	Aug 6, 5:59 PM UTC
TheOne777	No	40	31.0%	$12.4
D3N1S	No	40	82.0%	$32.8
tomo82	Yes	40	14.0%	$5.6
sla1264	Yes	40	34.0%	$13.6
LIam	Yes	39.43	50.7%	$20
PPMT	Yes	39.16	11.3%	$4.42	Oct 2, 1:53 PM UTC
planktonXD	Yes	36.01	33.0%	$11.88
kstc19	No	34.65	88.0%	$30.49
ALRAG	Yes	33.67	59.4%	$20
W1nner	No	32.61	92.5%	$30	Oct 8, 10:29 PM UTC
MaxEnt	No	32	91.6%	$29.12	Sep 13, 2:44 AM UTC
Coral Signal C1FE	No	30	59.0%	$17.7
cebo21	Yes	30	10.7%	$3	Sep 14, 12:53 PM UTC
poulette	Yes	30	10.6%	$3	Sep 14, 12:18 PM UTC
SabrinaX	Yes	30	10.7%	$3	Sep 14, 12:54 PM UTC
cyga21	Yes	30	10.7%	$3	Sep 14, 12:47 PM UTC
lliwog	Yes	30	38.0%	$11.4
21base	Yes	30	10.7%	$3	Sep 14, 12:12 PM UTC
EdHBR	Yes	29.67	23.2%	$6.53
paas2	Yes	29.22	54.0%	$15.78
kuruix	Yes	28.56	35.0%	$10
0xJupForest	Yes	26.03	76.8%	$20
666c	No	25.97	47.4%	$12.31
Defrankong	Yes	25.72	22.2%	$5.4
Hermitsupreme	Yes	25.66	20.0%	$5.13
Plain-Charger	Yes	25.08	39.9%	$10
Cosmic Signal 8966	Yes	25.03	26.0%	$6.51
Creepy-Eyestrain	No	23.26	86.8%	$20	Oct 1, 9:27 AM UTC
gama1	No	22.01	82.7%	$17.98
sludgelife	No	21.99	91.0%	$20.01
didudi	Yes	21.28	47.0%	$10
Lassasy	No	20.94	54.0%	$11.31
TheReader	Yes	20.83	24.0%	$5
biomen	No	20.64	85.9%	$17.54	Sep 8, 10:42 AM UTC
trader-8fff0181	No	20	90.0%	$18
DrNee	No	20	91.0%	$18.2
Doting-Communication	Yes	20	37.0%	$7.4
destropyer	Yes	19.72	29.0%	$5.72
neutralwave23	Yes	19.6	34.1%	$6.69
vironmen	Yes	19.59	21.6%	$4	Sep 22, 8:23 PM UTC
fi5h	No	19.48	75.6%	$14.72	Sep 6, 6:56 AM UTC
Rapid Scout 58EA	Yes	18.18	11.7%	$2	Sep 15, 8:05 PM UTC
warriet	Yes	17.95	39.0%	$7
gymcryptobroh	No	17.7	88.7%	$15.58	Aug 19, 7:03 AM UTC
Emerald Quasar 38CC	No	17.11	64.0%	$10.95
tekton	Yes	17	29.4%	$4.76
7belanga	No	15.64	83.0%	$12.82
yummy2mytummy	Yes	15.38	65.0%	$10
refaer	Yes	15.1	80.0%	$12.08
Mahes	No	14.93	67.0%	$10
caishiopt	Yes	14.08	71.0%	$10
iminmymomscarbroombroom	No	14.08	71.0%	$10
Vivien666	Yes	13.16	38.0%	$5
lllllllll	No	13	87.8%	$11.31	Sep 30, 9:01 AM UTC
rtyunnnn	Yes	13	18.0%	$2.21
takingrisks	Yes	12.82	39.0%	$5
MankPredict	Yes	12.54	65.9%	$8.26
Doubi64	Yes	12.5	16.9%	$2	Sep 6, 3:36 PM UTC
Ox359449186AafB044680CeF3BBe2aB4FAba702599	No	12.5	89.8%	$11.14	Oct 8, 2:26 PM UTC
Po1yBot-OH14pZyE7p	No	12.2	83.0%	$10	Oct 3, 6:00 AM UTC
Lunar Kestrel 5724	No	12.05	84.0%	$10
winexecutescale	Yes	11.97	18.5%	$2.22
cdocripto	Yes	11.62	22.2%	$2.44
156utgfvu	No	11.36	88.7%	$10	Aug 23, 11:03 AM UTC
Jade Falcon 2737	No	10.71	84.9%	$9
Silver Maven 2CEA	Yes	10.71	28.0%	$3
joyonta	No	10.45	67.0%	$7
Cobalt Tide 26F8	No	10.44	91.7%	$9.5	Sep 14, 12:10 AM UTC
theportorossocup	No	10.26	83.0%	$8.41
asdfasd11	No	10	83.0%	$8.3
rinsler	No	10	80.0%	$8
lll918dd	No	10	82.0%	$8.2
whysoseri8us	No	10	82.0%	$8.2
Last.Chance	No	10	81.3%	$8.02	Aug 31, 8:57 PM UTC
asdfsadfddd	Yes	10	28.0%	$2.8
ddd13421b	Yes	10	28.0%	$2.8
hqr123	Yes	10	37.0%	$3.7
asdfdd918	Yes	10	28.0%	$2.8
aaabbasdfcc	Yes	10	28.0%	$2.8
aaab819d	Yes	10	28.0%	$2.8
ddadsf	Yes	10	30.0%	$3
sadfsadf	Yes	10	28.0%	$2.8
zxcursed121	Yes	10	28.5%	$2.85
zxcursed121	No	9.99	90.0%	$8.99
Awful-Hole	Yes	9	32.0%	$2.88
Azure Tide 01FC	Yes	8.85	39.0%	$3.45
67xxabcsdafasdf	No	8.6	90.0%	$7.74
arufe	Yes	8.37	70.0%	$5.86
Competent-Pagoda	No	8.21	86.1%	$7	Oct 7, 12:05 AM UTC
zyxzyxzyx	Yes	7.37	27.0%	$1.99
titochamo	Yes	7.25	69.0%	$5
tgdfgd	Yes	7.16	80.0%	$5.73
JNOOO	Yes	6.94	36.0%	$2.5
Tired-Acoustics	No	6.19	90.6%	$5.61	Sep 27, 9:25 AM UTC
Lunar Harbor CA26	Yes	6.1	25.0%	$1.53
Degenvestor	Yes	6	50.0%	$3
frank19571	Yes	6	24.0%	$1.44
Amber Atlas 1D57	No	6	84.3%	$5
bornoncc0	Yes	5.95	84.0%	$5
Bezus	No	5.75	87.8%	$5	Aug 20, 6:15 AM UTC
starboy1998	Yes	5.71	35.0%	$2
Ivory Harbor 988D	No	5.62	89.7%	$5	Sep 16, 11:58 AM UTC
Jenks007	Yes	5.41	37.0%	$2
Cosmic Sphinx 8353	Yes	5.27	37.0%	$1.95
Stanleyxes	Yes	5.12	60.2%	$3.08
asdfasdf11112	No	5	90.0%	$4.5
ZakazDostavlen	Yes	5	20.0%	$1
Attached-Lunge	Yes	5	13.0%	$0.65
kk8s118es	Yes	5	18.0%	$0.9
Defenseless-Eyebrow	Yes	5	8.0%	$0.4
FriffinPeter	No	4.65	86.8%	$4	Oct 6, 8:00 AM UTC
f6xoc4whi0yh	No	4.29	92.5%	$3.9	Oct 8, 2:25 PM UTC
Azure Kestrel 2C88	No	4.24	90.6%	$3.82	Sep 16, 3:23 AM UTC
Scholarly-Pence	No	4.17	24.0%	$1
VincentPolymarket	Yes	4.17	24.0%	$1
tanketes	No	3.87	77.9%	$3
15rob	No	3.59	74.7%	$2.68	Aug 6, 10:18 AM UTC
Baltikkka9	No	3.49	86.8%	$3	Oct 6, 7:57 AM UTC
Stomatolog	No	3.49	86.8%	$3	Oct 6, 8:01 AM UTC
protrader2328	No	3.49	86.8%	$3	Sep 7, 7:57 AM UTC
333tdd	Yes	3.44	58.0%	$2
Misty Meteor C382	No	3.3	91.6%	$3	Sep 14, 12:12 PM UTC
cr7ptonoob	Yes	3.1	64.5%	$2
Noonoo123	No	3.09	71.0%	$2.19
tradedada	Yes	3.03	33.0%	$1
Delirious-Objection	No	2.99	67.0%	$2
Swift Tide 4B51	No	2.97	91.6%	$2.7	Sep 14, 12:12 PM UTC
appu2005	Yes	2.94	79.0%	$2.32
asdfasdf111	No	2.93	90.0%	$2.64
Stunning-Rhubarb	Yes	2.86	35.0%	$1
PPMT	No	2.67	85.6%	$2.29	Sep 17, 12:45 PM UTC
mountaincat	Yes	2.56	39.0%	$1
goldi012	No	2.52	66.0%	$1.66
darkestpool	No	2.5	83.0%	$2.05
ajia	No	2.38	84.9%	$2	Oct 3, 5:01 PM UTC
KroshkiSoStola	No	2.33	86.8%	$2	Oct 6, 7:54 AM UTC
Intrepid-Microphone	Yes	2.3	23.5%	$0.54
Fruitful-Neighborhood	No	2.2	91.6%	$2	Sep 14, 12:09 AM UTC
Hugin-og-Munin	No	2.19	59.0%	$1.29
Raketa09	No	1.9	81.0%	$1.54
q81m4wlg55dp	No	1.76	86.7%	$1.5	Sep 29, 7:21 PM UTC
nideyangzi	Yes	1.54	65.0%	$1
Computerfxx	No	1.49	67.0%	$1
Emerald Summit 613E	No	1.49	67.0%	$1
tradedada	No	1.47	68.0%	$1
v1nnee	No	1.41	72.5%	$1
Amber Pulse 13A6	No	1.37	73.0%	$1
mommypig	Yes	1.35	74.0%	$1
dreezy.eth	No	1.27	79.0%	$1
Sany	Yes	1.25	80.0%	$1
k2ai	Yes	1.25	80.0%	$1
Swift Sphinx 86ED	No	1.22	83.0%	$1
Lavincey	No	1.19	75.0%	$0.89
oiuhg	Yes	1.19	84.0%	$1
MarcelaF	Yes	1.18	85.0%	$1
iuytf	Yes	1.18	85.0%	$1
arrowSilent	Yes	1.15	87.0%	$1
calspw	Yes	1.14	88.0%	$1
trader-f32417a3	No	1.11	90.6%	$1	Sep 15, 12:14 PM UTC
Taromsoft	No	1.1	91.6%	$1	Oct 8, 2:45 PM UTC
Jade Comet 25AB	No	1.1	91.6%	$1	Sep 14, 12:09 AM UTC
Misty Ledger 555C	No	1.09	93.4%	$1	Oct 7, 12:05 AM UTC
G24L8	No	1.01	61.7%	$0.61	Sep 30, 10:24 PM UTC
Keen Orbit 075D	Yes	0.95	28.5%	$0.27
asdfll1	Yes	0.91	12.0%	$0.11
tylerpredict	No	0.84	84.0%	$0.7	Oct 7, 12:06 AM UTC
rocky42018	No	0.8	85.9%	$0.69
Neat-Robot	No	0.68	74.0%	$0.5
cornishon1	No	0.64	72.2%	$0.45	Oct 6, 6:41 AM UTC
no1biao	No	0.51	63.2%	$0.33
rocky42018	Yes	0.27	19.9%	$0.05
53asdad	Yes	0.22	10.2%	$0.02	Aug 6, 10:19 AM UTC
15rob	Yes	0.2	13.0%	$0.03	Aug 6, 10:18 AM UTC
cornishon2	No	0.15	70.5%	$0.1	Oct 6, 6:46 AM UTC

337 of 337 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
manekineko	$11.7K
qmarktea2	$10.88K
WillFS	$8.1K

Analytics