Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.13K | $0.881 | $16.77K | +$797.78 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 327.1 | $0.940 | $307.47 | 2d ago |
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| Yes |
| 2.65K |
| $0.843 |
| $2.32K |
| +$85.25 |
New pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.47K | $0.940 | $1.39K | +$7.37 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 1.09K | $0.828 | $932.51 | +$29.04 |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 924.39 | $0.958 | $808.84 | -$76.57 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 652.9 | $0.880 | $603.93 | +$29.38 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 700 | $0.843 | $598.5 | +$8.5 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.52K | $0.308 | $541.86 | +$73.07 |
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 300 | $0.980 | $292.2 | -$1.8 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 300 | $0.930 | $291.45 | +$12.45 |
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 268.5 | $0.865 | $242.99 | +$10.71 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.920 | $195.7 | +$11.7 |
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 260 | $0.673 | $178.1 | +$3.1 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 175.87 | $0.800 | $148.61 | +$7.91 |
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | 128.21 | $0.780 | $119.87 | +$19.87 |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 200 | $0.470 | $105 | +$11 |
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.950 | $98.55 | +$3.55 |
Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.950 | $94.5 | -$0.5 |
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.920 | $92.6 | +$0.6 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 100 | $0.890 | $88.5 | -$0.5 |
Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.620 | $74.5 | +$12.5 |
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | No | 60.39 | $0.828 | $57.1 | +$7.1 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.900 | $45.25 | +$0.25 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.950 | $44.75 | -$2.75 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 47.02 | $0.890 | $43.75 | +$1.9 |
| buy |
| 724.39 |
| $0.960 |
| $695.41 |
| 6d ago |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.930 | $279 | 6d ago |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | 6d ago |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.356 | $35.6 | 6d ago |
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | 6d ago |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 47.02 | $0.890 | $41.85 | 8d ago |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | 8d ago |
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 160 | $0.650 | $104 | 8d ago |
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 8d ago |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 379.32 | $0.850 | $322.42 | 8d ago |
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 August 31-September 6?No | buy | 300 | $0.983 | $294.9 | 8d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | 8d ago |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | 8d ago |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | 8d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | 8d ago |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | 8d ago |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | 8d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | 8d ago |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.890 | $445 | 8d ago |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.43 | $0.334 | $5.15 | 9d ago |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 16.51 | $0.334 | $5.51 | 13d ago |
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | 16d ago |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 175.87 | $0.800 | $140.7 | 22d ago |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.470 | $94 | 29d ago |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 180.98 | $0.306 | $55.38 | Aug 10, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.840 | $420 | Aug 10, 2026 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 169 | $0.306 | $51.71 | Aug 10, 2026 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 384.18 | $0.305 | $117.17 | Aug 10, 2026 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 607.37 | $0.303 | $184.03 | Aug 10, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.966 | $57.96 | Aug 10, 2026 |
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.979 | $97.9 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.980 | $196 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Aug 9, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.965 | $96.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 560 | $0.830 | $464.8 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 140 | $0.870 | $121.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.648 | $6.48 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Aug 5, 2026 |
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 92.37 | $0.920 | $84.98 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | buy | 38.89 | $0.660 | $25.67 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Aug 4, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.960 | $192 | Aug 4, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 159 | $0.939 | $149.3 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.939 | $17.84 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | Jul 29, 2026 |