Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | Yes | 59.72 | $0.182 | $13.74 | +$2.88 |
 Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 33.19 | $0.158 | $5.26 | Jul 10, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 58.06 |
| $0.187 |
| $8.13 |
| -$2.73 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 49.67 | $0.330 | $4.22 | -$12.17 |
 Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO? | Yes | 10 | $0.210 | $2.39 | +$0.29 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | Yes | 37.2 | $0.149 | $0.19 | -$5.34 |
| buy |
| 23.16 |
| $0.237 |
| $5.5 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.120 | $5.52 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.120 | $5.52 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Yes | buy | 21.15 | $0.265 | $5.61 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.7 | $0.229 | $5.42 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | buy | 31.9 | $0.173 | $5.52 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 32 | $0.170 | $5.44 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 31.26 | $0.175 | $5.48 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 29.21 | $0.190 | $5.55 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Grok 4.4 released by July 17?No | buy | 23.38 | $0.237 | $5.55 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.100 | $5.5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.170 | $5.44 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | buy | 42.31 | $0.130 | $5.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.390 | $5.32 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 13.65 | $0.400 | $5.46 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 42.31 | $0.130 | $5.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?Yes | buy | 17.69 | $0.290 | $5.13 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.150 | $5.25 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.73 | $0.330 | $5.52 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes | buy | 37.35 | $0.170 | $6.35 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes | buy | 38.96 | $0.134 | $5.22 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.41 | $0.440 | $5.46 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 28.59 | $0.191 | $5.46 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?No | buy | 13.97 | $0.398 | $5.56 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?No | buy | 13.48 | $0.400 | $5.39 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 30.22 | $0.180 | $5.44 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 30.89 | $0.177 | $5.46 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 19.29 | $0.280 | $5.4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 30.21 | $0.180 | $5.44 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Yes | buy | 23.48 | $0.230 | $5.4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 23.96 | $0.230 | $5.51 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.75 | $0.481 | $5.65 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No | buy | 15.6 | $0.347 | $5.41 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No | buy | 15.85 | $0.337 | $5.34 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes | buy | 20.73 | $0.260 | $5.39 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.420 | $5.6 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026No | buy | 10.51 | $0.529 | $5.56 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes | buy | 36.68 | $0.149 | $5.46 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.71 | $0.450 | $5.72 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?Yes | buy | 31.36 | $0.173 | $5.44 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 33.25 | $0.160 | $5.32 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 21.58 | $0.260 | $5.61 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No | buy | 12.71 | $0.450 | $5.72 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 38.28 | $0.145 | $5.55 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 21.56 | $0.250 | $5.39 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes | buy | 37.2 | $0.149 | $5.53 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.99 | $0.127 | $5.46 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?Yes | buy | 17.94 | $0.310 | $5.56 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?No | buy | 12.95 | $0.441 | $5.71 | Jun 22, 2026 |