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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 24.19 | $0.620 | $20.92 | +$5.93 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 17.23 |
| $0.870 |
| $16.42 |
| +$1.43 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 16.09 | $0.932 | $15.47 | +$0.47 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 11.76 | $0.850 | $11.31 | +$1.31 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | 11.39 | $0.878 | $11.3 | +$1.3 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? | No | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10.98 | +$0.98 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10.88 | +$0.88 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.82 | +$0.82 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? | No | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10.7 | +$0.71 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.68 | +$0.68 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10.64 | +$0.64 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10.43 | +$0.43 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 10.7 | $0.935 | $10.37 | +$0.37 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 10.68 | $0.936 | $10.34 | +$0.35 |
 US congress stock trading ban before 2027? | No | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.33 | +$0.33 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 10.71 | $0.934 | $10.3 | +$0.29 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10.19 | +$0.18 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10.17 | +$0.16 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-13 House seat? | No | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $9.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 11.15 | $0.897 | $9.89 | -$0.11 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? | No | 10.53 | $0.950 | $9.82 | -$0.18 |
| sell |
| 22.39 |
| $0.520 |
| $11.64 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No | buy | 10.55 | $0.948 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No | buy | 13.85 | $0.650 | $9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?No | sell | 80.5 | $0.090 | $7.25 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?No | buy | 58.33 | $0.120 | $7 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | buy | 13.19 | $0.910 | $12 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | sell | 11.48 | $0.020 | $0.23 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 24.19 | $0.620 | $15 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No | sell | 10.53 | $0.987 | $10.39 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 15.79 | $0.960 | $15.16 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | sell | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | sell | 22 | $0.250 | $5.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.090 | $4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 10.7 | $0.935 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 22.39 | $0.670 | $15 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 10.68 | $0.936 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-13 House seat?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | buy | 11.15 | $0.897 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?No | buy | 17.23 | $0.870 | $14.99 | May 25, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 5.92 | $0.820 | $4.85 | May 25, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.55 | $0.730 | $15 | May 25, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.934 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| US congress stock trading ban before 2027?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 11.39 | $0.878 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 10.82 | $0.924 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 16.09 | $0.932 | $15 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |