Analytics
ourdemocracy2 has made $6.58K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-02 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 12.68K | $0.867 | $10.91K | -$89.89 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-02 07:22 UTC
Polymarket public position response
48 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 18:22 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 18:22 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-02 07:22 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $899.71K and losing ones cost $799.47K across the latest 50 settled positions. 46% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $617.82K on “Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $338.35K on “Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?” (Yes).
It has traded 603 markets. Its open positions are worth $30.25K across 48 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 3K |
| $0.850 |
| $2.42K |
| -$135 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? | No | 2.34K | $0.880 | $2.26K | +$203.8 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | No | 2.19K | $0.807 | $1.91K | +$137.82 |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? | No | 1.5K | $0.853 | $1.4K | +$122.8 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.33K | $0.818 | $1.31K | +$226.89 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 1.3K | $0.954 | $1.25K | +$9.1 |
 Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.900 | $890 | -$10 |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.907 | $880 | -$27.34 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? | No | 907.36 | $0.768 | $871.52 | +$175 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | No | 535 | $0.730 | $480.43 | +$89.89 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 469.71 | $0.912 | $445.05 | +$16.79 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 500 | $0.740 | $417.5 | +$47.5 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October? | No | 385.55 | $0.937 | $370.51 | +$9.33 |
 Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 381 | $0.779 | $346.9 | +$50 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.850 | $268.5 | +$13.5 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.882 | $262.5 | -$2 |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31? | No | 250 | $0.858 | $230 | +$15.55 |
 Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 229.06 | $0.799 | $220.24 | +$37.29 |
 Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.922 | $195.3 | +$10.8 |
 America.gov removed by October 31? | No | 201 | $0.978 | $194.77 | -$1.78 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? | No | 202.83 | $0.860 | $191.67 | +$17.34 |
 Will XRP reach $2.40 in October? | No | 182.41 | $0.980 | $181.41 | +$2.65 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.780 | $181 | +$25 |
 Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | No | 214.28 | $0.884 | $171.32 | -$18.11 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
