Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 300 | $0.935 | $288.45 | +$7.95 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.885 | $1 | 4d ago |
 |
| No |
| 234.15 |
| $0.930 |
| $224.9 |
| +$7.14 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 166.67 | $0.900 | $154.17 | +$4.17 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 55.56 | $0.900 | $51.94 | +$1.94 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 49.75 | $0.201 | $11.97 | +$1.97 |
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Apple TV win the most Emmys? | Yes | 1.13 | $0.885 | $0.96 | -$0.04 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $0.88 | -$0.12 |
 Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election? | Yes | 1.23 | $0.810 | $0.87 | -$0.13 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.72 | $0.580 | $0.35 | -$0.65 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.19 | $0.840 | $0.14 | -$0.86 |
| buy |
| 1.19 |
| $0.840 |
| $1 |
| 8d ago |
| Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 8d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyones Legend | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.839 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.848 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.932 | $2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.900 | $150 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageT1 | sell | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageT1 | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.951 | $1.14 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.995 | $1.57 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown | sell | 7.14 | $0.030 | $0.21 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown | sell | 1.47 | $0.200 | $0.29 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown | sell | 1.47 | $0.400 | $0.59 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETUp | sell | 1.32 | $0.020 | $0.03 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETUp | sell | 1.31 | $0.190 | $0.25 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETUp | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETDown | sell | 1.72 | $0.470 | $0.81 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETDown | sell | 1.72 | $0.460 | $0.79 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETDown | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETDown | sell | 1.39 | $0.540 | $0.75 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETDown | sell | 1.38 | $0.482 | $0.67 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETDown | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETUp | sell | 1.52 | $0.490 | $0.74 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETUp | sell | 1.51 | $0.410 | $0.62 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETUp | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETUp | sell | 0.71 | $0.020 | $0.01 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETUp | sell | 1.42 | $0.090 | $0.13 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETUp | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETDown | sell | 1.52 | $0.630 | $0.96 | Jul 11, 2026 |