Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 2.14K | $0.936 | $2.04K | +$41.11 |
 Is Earth flat? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 112.72 |
| $0.976 |
| $111.87 |
| +$1.87 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 493.28 | $0.227 | $81.39 | -$30.61 |
 Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10.44 | +$0.44 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 3.45 | $0.290 | $2.43 | +$1.43 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 2.55 | $0.392 | $2.18 | +$1.18 |
 Tom Lee charged by December 31? | No | 2.16 | $0.925 | $2.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | Yes | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1.66 | +$0.66 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
 Clavicular sentenced to prison? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.08 | $0.922 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto | Nothing | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 SBF released from custody in 2026? | No | 1.05 | $0.954 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Obama divorce before 2027? | No | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | +$0 |
| buy |
| 530.83 |
| $0.957 |
| $508 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 513.71 | $0.956 | $491.13 | 2d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.210 | $100 | 21d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?No | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | 29d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | sell | 588.23 | $0.180 | $105.88 | 29d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 11?No | buy | 201.23 | $0.994 | $200 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.225 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Is Earth flat?No | buy | 102.46 | $0.976 | $100 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Anthropic acquired before 2027?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Obama divorce before 2027?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Another Elon baby by June 30?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.954 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.954 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.934 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Is Earth flat?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.975 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 6.03 | $0.829 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.018 | $2 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.008 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.922 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
| Tom Lee charged by December 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |